SHMD Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
SHMD - SCHMID Group N.V. Class A Ordinary Shares
$4.91
0.10 (2.08%)
â˛
5d:
-9.91%
30d:
+12.36%
90d:
-34.09%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Aug 21, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 25, 2026
TODAY
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: SHMD is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At -11.9% expected growth, valuation appears cheap. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: SHMD is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At -11.9% expected growth, valuation appears cheap. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$10.71
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$6.65
26.2% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: SHMD is currently trading at $4.91, which is considered slightly high relative to its 30-day fair value range of $4.09 to $5.10. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 25.8) compared to its historical average (37.8). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 11.9% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SHMD is in a downtrend. Immediate support is located at $4.61, while resistance sits at $5.79.
Market Sentiment: SHMD scores 33/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (3th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SHMD is in a downtrend. Immediate support is located at $4.61, while resistance sits at $5.79.
Market Sentiment: SHMD scores 33/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (3th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Historical Trading Range
$4.09 -
$5.10
Company Quality Score
42/100
(HOLD)
Options IV Signal
3th percentile
(LOW)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
50.0%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Options cheap (IV 3th percentile)
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (33/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- WARNING: Composite score 42/100 in the bottom quintile â this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$4.09 -
$5.10
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Expected Move (7 Days)
Âą$0.86
(17.6%)
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$4.61
Resistance Level
$5.79
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
Aug 21, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
25.82
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-37.5%
Profit Margin
-106.1%
Valuation Discount vs History
-11.9% cheaper
PE vs Historical
25.8 vs 37.8
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-11.9%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$5.11
(-10%)
2-Year Target
$4.60
(-19%)
3-Year Target
$4.14
(-27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 26â38)
$6.06
(+7%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 25.8, Growth: 175.0%)
$19.17
(+238%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 20.1, Growth: 175.0%)
$14.93
(+163%)
Bear:
(PE: 17.1, Growth: 175.0%)
$12.69
(+123%)
đĄ
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 25.8 to 37.8
Stabilization Target:
$8.32
(+46.4%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+46.4%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 24, 2026 6:38 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:38 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:38 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is SHMD showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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