SIMO Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
SIMO - Silicon Motion Technology Corporation
$308.41
8.90 (2.97%)
▲
5d:
+4.58%
30d:
+12.42%
90d:
+144.77%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 14, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 29, 2026
13d
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1 traders called SIMO this week
100% bullish • 0 bearish
100% bullish • 0 bearish
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: SIMO shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 8.5% annual growth which appears achievable. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: SIMO shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 8.5% annual growth which appears achievable. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$398.16
Based on 10.7% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$247.22
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 23.6x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: SIMO is currently trading at $308.41, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $276.82 to $327.23. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 30.2) compared to its historical average (23.6). At these levels, the market is pricing in 8.5% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SIMO is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $284.40, while resistance sits at $341.00.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SIMO is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $284.40, while resistance sits at $341.00.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$276.82 -
$327.23
Company Quality Score
48/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
65.2%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Trading above Wall St target ($281.20)
- NEUTRAL: PE elevated vs history but 8.5% growth expectation is conservative given 239% recent growth
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$276.82 -
$327.23
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$284.40
Resistance Level
$341.00
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jul 14, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
30.18
Wall Street Target
$281.20
(-8.8%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
105.5%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
238.7%
Profit Margin
16.0%
Valuation Premium vs History
+8.5% premium
PE vs Historical
30.2 vs 23.6
STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+8.5%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$334.62
(+9%)
2-Year Target
$363.07
(+18%)
3-Year Target
$393.93
(+28%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 30→24)
PE COMPRESSION
$308.00
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 30.2, Growth: 17.3%)
$497.14
(+61%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 21.8, Growth: 17.3%)
$358.72
(+16%)
Bear:
(PE: 18.5, Growth: 17.3%)
$304.91
(-1%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (38x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (30x PE) as earnings recover.
Forward PE: 38.31 | Forward EPS (Implied): $8.05
Bull Case
$372.41
(+21%)
Analyst growth 15.0%, PE expands to 40.2
Base Case
$308.41
(0%)
Market implied 0.0%, PE stable at 38.3
Bear Case
$235.93
(-24%)
Severe decline -15.0%, PE contracts to 34.5
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 14, 2026 10:10 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:10 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:10 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is SIMO showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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