SITM Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
SITM - SiTime Corporation Common Stock
$550.32
15.12 (2.83%)
▲
5d:
+5.29%
30d:
-8.53%
90d:
-1.49%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 31, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 05, 2026
TODAY
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: SITM shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: SITM shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$600.17
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$372.66
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: SITM is currently trading at $550.32, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $529.11 to $658.97. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 44.6) compared to its historical average (68.4). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 13.3% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SITM is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $459.01, while resistance sits at $597.25.
Market Sentiment: SITM has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Implied Volatility is high (72th percentile), indicating expensive options premiums. This environment often favors selling options or covered calls to generate income. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $837.50 (+52.2%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SITM is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $459.01, while resistance sits at $597.25.
Market Sentiment: SITM has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Implied Volatility is high (72th percentile), indicating expensive options premiums. This environment often favors selling options or covered calls to generate income. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $837.50 (+52.2%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
Historical Trading Range
$529.11 -
$658.97
Company Quality Score
50/100
(HOLD)
Options IV Signal
72th percentile
(ELEVATED)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
46.2%
Protect Your Profits
Holding SITM? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BEARISH: Options expensive (IV 72th percentile)
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (25/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 52.2% below Wall St target ($837.50)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$529.11 -
$658.97
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY LOW
Expected Move (7 Days)
±$97.61
(17.7%)
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$459.01
Resistance Level
$597.25
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Aug 3, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
44.64
Wall Street Target
$837.50
(+52.2%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
88.3%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-60.6%
Profit Margin
-6.4%
Valuation Discount vs History
-13.3% cheaper
PE vs Historical
44.6 vs 68.4
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-13.3%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$495.29
(-10%)
2-Year Target
$445.76
(-19%)
3-Year Target
$401.18
(-27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 45→68)
$614.71
(+12%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 44.6, Growth: 45.2%)
$1686.21
(+206%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 20.7, Growth: 45.2%)
$783.04
(+42%)
Bear:
(PE: 17.6, Growth: 45.2%)
$665.59
(+21%)
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 44.6 to 68.4
Stabilization Target:
$843.23
(+53.2%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+53.2%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 04, 2026 2:06 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:06 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:06 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is SITM showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
10
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Piyush B Sevalia
SELL
2419 shares
2026-04-17
Piyush B Sevalia
SELL
1247 shares
2026-04-10
Piyush B Sevalia
SELL
1249 shares
2026-03-25
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Advanced SITM Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's SITM price and gamma walls.
