SITM Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
SITM - SiTime Corporation Common Stock
$601.66
-102.18 (-14.52%)
▼
5d:
-10.96%
30d:
-14.18%
90d:
+69.8%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 2, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 05, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
⏸️ WAIT FOR STABILIZATION: SITM is down 11.0% over the last 5 days. While fundamentals may be solid, catching a falling knife is risky. Wait for price to stabilize before entering.
⏸️ WAIT FOR STABILIZATION: SITM is down 11.0% over the last 5 days. While fundamentals may be solid, catching a falling knife is risky. Wait for price to stabilize before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$526.51
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$326.92
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: SITM is currently trading at $601.66, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $671.75 to $731.84. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 55.6) compared to its historical average (70.5). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 7.6% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SITM is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $586.15. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 14.5% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $837.50 (+39.2%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SITM is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $586.15. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 14.5% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $837.50 (+39.2%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
Historical Trading Range
$671.75 -
$731.84
Company Quality Score
53/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
74.8%
Protect Your Profits
Holding SITM? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Downward momentum (-14.5%)
- BULLISH: Trading 39.2% below Wall St target ($837.50)
- WARNING: Recommendation downgraded due to -11.0% 5-day decline - wait for stabilization
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$671.75 -
$731.84
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY LOW
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$586.15
Resistance Level
$757.80
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jul 2, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
55.63
Wall Street Target
$837.50
(+39.2%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
88.3%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-60.6%
Profit Margin
-6.4%
Valuation Discount vs History
-7.6% cheaper
PE vs Historical
55.6 vs 70.5
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-7.6%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$555.93
(-8%)
2-Year Target
$513.68
(-15%)
3-Year Target
$474.64
(-21%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 56→71)
$601.48
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 55.6, Growth: 37.8%)
$1573.31
(+162%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 21.8, Growth: 37.8%)
$615.94
(+2%)
Bear:
(PE: 18.5, Growth: 37.8%)
$523.55
(-13%)
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 55.6 to 70.5
Stabilization Target:
$762.44
(+26.7%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+26.7%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 03, 2026 10:12 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:12 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:12 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is SITM showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
10
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Piyush B Sevalia
SELL
2419 shares
2026-04-17
Piyush B Sevalia
SELL
1247 shares
2026-04-10
Piyush B Sevalia
SELL
1249 shares
2026-03-25
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