SPNT Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
SPNT - SiriusPoint Ltd.
$23.64
-0.01 (-0.04%)
▼
5d:
-7.8%
30d:
-4.02%
90d:
+1.68%
HOLD
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 31, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 03, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: SPNT is fairly valued with market pricing in 0.8% annual growth. Fine to hold or accumulate slowly on dips.
📊 HOLD: SPNT is fairly valued with market pricing in 0.8% annual growth. Fine to hold or accumulate slowly on dips.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$31.64
Based on 6.6% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$19.64
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 8.3x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: SPNT is currently trading at $23.64, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $23.68 to $25.24. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 8.5) is in line with its historical norms (8.3). At these levels, the market is pricing in 0.8% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SPNT is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $23.20. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $27.67 (+17.0%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SPNT is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $23.20. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $27.67 (+17.0%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$23.68 -
$25.24
Company Quality Score
54/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
78.1%
Protect Your Profits
Holding SPNT? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($27.67)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 0.8% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
- CAUTION: Recommendation downgraded due to -7.8% 5-day decline
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$23.68 -
$25.24
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$23.20
Resistance Level
$26.48
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Aug 3, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
8.51
Wall Street Target
$27.67
(+17.0%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
6.5%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
67.3%
Profit Margin
16.5%
Valuation Premium vs History
+0.8% premium
PE vs Historical
8.5 vs 8.3
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+0.8%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$23.84
(+1%)
2-Year Target
$24.03
(+2%)
3-Year Target
$24.22
(+2%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 9→8)
PE COMPRESSION
$23.61
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.7, Growth: 9.1%)
$74.84
(+217%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 8.5, Growth: 9.1%)
$30.74
(+30%)
Bear:
(PE: 7.2, Growth: 9.1%)
$26.13
(+11%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 6.50 | Current EPS (TTM): $3.64
Bull Case
$19.86
(-16%)
Analyst growth -23.7%, PE expands to 7.2
Base Case
$18.05
(-24%)
Market implied -23.7%, PE stable at 6.5
Bear Case
$16.09
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 5.5
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 03, 2026 4:29 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:29 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:29 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is SPNT showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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