STAG Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
STAG - STAG INDUSTRIAL, INC.
$37.80
0.53 (1.42%)
▲
5d:
-0.53%
30d:
+0.24%
90d:
+0.8%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jun 18, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 04, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: STAG shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite fair pricing.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: STAG shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite fair pricing.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$32.81
Based on 2.9% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$20.37
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: STAG is currently trading at $37.80, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $37.25 to $38.50. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 33.2) is in line with its historical norms (34.2). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 0.9% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, STAG is in a downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $38.70. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: STAG has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, STAG is in a downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $38.70. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: STAG has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$37.25 -
$38.50
Company Quality Score
59/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
78.6%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($41.30)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$37.25 -
$38.50
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$36.28
Resistance Level
$38.70
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
33.22
Wall Street Target
$41.30
(+9.3%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
9.1%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-34.7%
Profit Margin
28.3%
Valuation Discount vs History
-0.9% cheaper
PE vs Historical
33.2 vs 34.2
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-0.9%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$37.46
(-1%)
2-Year Target
$37.12
(-2%)
3-Year Target
$36.79
(-3%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 33→34)
$37.87
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 33.2, Growth: 1.8%)
$39.87
(+6%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 21.8, Growth: 1.8%)
$26.13
(-31%)
Bear:
(PE: 18.5, Growth: 1.8%)
$22.21
(-41%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 28.89 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.29
Bull Case
$36.16
(-4%)
Analyst growth -11.8%, PE expands to 31.8
Base Case
$32.87
(-13%)
Market implied -11.8%, PE stable at 28.9
Bear Case
$25.34
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 24.6
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 33.2 to 34.2
Stabilization Target:
$38.91
(+2.9%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+2.9%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: June 21, 2026 9:57 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:57 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:57 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is STAG showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
3
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Matts Pinard
SELL
25242 shares
2026-02-23
William R Crooker
SELL
93732 shares
2026-02-23
Virgis Colbert
SELL
18000 shares
2026-02-19
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