STN Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
STN - Stantec, Inc.
$71.65
1.16 (1.65%)
▲
5d:
+1.5%
30d:
+2.31%
90d:
-21.66%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 31, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 12, 2026
7d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: STN shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 7.6% decline. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: STN shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 7.6% decline. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$130.27
Based on 7.6% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$80.89
11.4% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 13.2x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: STN is currently trading at $71.65, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $68.04 to $70.58. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 10.4) compared to its historical average (13.2). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 7.6% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 10.5% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, STN is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $72.42. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: STN has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $94.28 (+31.6%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, STN is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $72.42. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: STN has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $94.28 (+31.6%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$68.04 -
$70.58
Company Quality Score
50/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
61.9%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 31.6% below Wall St target ($94.28)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$68.04 -
$70.58
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$66.26
Resistance Level
$72.42
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Aug 3, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
10.43
Wall Street Target
$94.28
(+31.6%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
9.1%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
10.5%
Profit Margin
7.4%
Valuation Discount vs History
-7.6% cheaper
PE vs Historical
10.4 vs 13.2
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-7.6%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$66.20
(-8%)
2-Year Target
$61.17
(-15%)
3-Year Target
$56.52
(-21%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 10→13)
$71.51
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.7, Growth: 11.1%)
$195.06
(+172%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 10.4, Growth: 11.1%)
$98.17
(+37%)
Bear:
(PE: 8.9, Growth: 11.1%)
$83.45
(+17%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (23x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (10x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 23.04 | Current EPS (TTM): $3.06
Bull Case
$155.08
(+116%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 25.3
Base Case
$140.98
(+97%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 23.0
Bear Case
$47.93
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 19.6
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 10.4 to 13.2
Stabilization Target:
$90.65
(+26.5%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+26.5%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 03, 2026 10:46 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:46 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:46 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is STN showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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