SUN Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
SUN - SUNOCO L.P.
$75.21
0.62 (0.83%)
▲
5d:
+1.64%
30d:
+21.07%
90d:
+13.63%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 24, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 04, 2026
8d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: SUN shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: SUN shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$76.02
Based on -0.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$47.20
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 7.9x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: SUN is currently trading at $75.21, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $65.07 to $73.30. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 7.6) is in line with its historical norms (7.9). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 1.3% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 135.5% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SUN is in a uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $77.03. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: SUN has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SUN is in a uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $77.03. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: SUN has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$65.07 -
$73.30
Company Quality Score
56/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
57.1%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($76.29)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$65.07 -
$73.30
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$69.20
Resistance Level
$77.03
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jul 24, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
7.60
Wall Street Target
$76.29
(+1.4%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
106.4%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
135.5%
Profit Margin
3.1%
Valuation Discount vs History
-1.3% cheaper
PE vs Historical
7.6 vs 7.9
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-1.3%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$74.23
(-1%)
2-Year Target
$73.27
(-3%)
3-Year Target
$72.31
(-4%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 8→8)
$75.14
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.8, Growth: -5.0%)
$176.35
(+135%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 7.6, Growth: -5.0%)
$64.43
(-14%)
Bear:
(PE: 6.5, Growth: -5.0%)
$54.77
(-27%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (19x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (8x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 19.37 | Current EPS (TTM): $3.85
Bull Case
$164.10
(+118%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 21.3
Base Case
$149.18
(+98%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 19.4
Bear Case
$50.72
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 16.5
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 7.6 to 7.9
Stabilization Target:
$78.15
(+3.9%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+3.9%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 26, 2026 8:25 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:25 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:25 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is SUN showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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