TALO Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
TALO - Talos Energy, Inc. Common Stock
$17.47
-0.28 (-1.58%)
▼
5d:
+10.78%
30d:
+14.48%
90d:
+10.01%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Aug 21, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 04, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: TALO shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: TALO shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$58.83
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$36.53
52.2% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: TALO is currently trading at $17.47, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $14.03 to $16.14. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 13.6) compared to its historical average (181.3). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 57.8% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, TALO is showing sideways momentum. Immediate support is located at $14.65, while resistance sits at $18.44.
Market Sentiment: TALO scores 15/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $18.89 (+15.1%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, TALO is showing sideways momentum. Immediate support is located at $14.65, while resistance sits at $18.44.
Market Sentiment: TALO scores 15/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $18.89 (+15.1%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$14.03 -
$16.14
Company Quality Score
42/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
21.4%
Protect Your Profits
Holding TALO? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range (+8.2% above its trading range)
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (15/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($18.89)
- WARNING: Composite score 42/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$14.03 -
$16.14
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$14.65
Resistance Level
$18.44
Current Trend
Sideways
Technical data as of
Aug 21, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
13.58
Wall Street Target
$18.89
(+15.1%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
56.6%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-38.1%
Profit Margin
-20.5%
Valuation Discount vs History
-57.8% cheaper
PE vs Historical
13.6 vs 181.3
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-57.8%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$14.77
(-10%)
2-Year Target
$13.29
(-19%)
3-Year Target
$11.96
(-27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 14→181)
$159.71
(+873%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.1, Growth: 65.7%)
$82.02
(+400%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 13.6, Growth: 65.7%)
$55.38
(+238%)
Bear:
(PE: 11.5, Growth: 65.7%)
$47.08
(+187%)
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 13.6 to 181.3
Stabilization Target:
$219.08
(+1235.1%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+1235.1%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 23, 2026 1:57 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:57 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:57 AM
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| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
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Technical Signals Check
Is TALO showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
2
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Control Empresarial De C…
SELL
1352000 shares
2026-03-27
Control Empresarial De C…
SELL
960000 shares
2026-03-26
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Advanced TALO Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's TALO price and gamma walls.
