TATT Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

TATT - TAT Technologies Ltd

Aircraft Engines & Engine Parts
$43.29
-0.36 (-0.81%) ▼
5d: -4.75%
30d: +16.37%
90d: -5.89%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jun 23, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 10, 2026

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡
Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: TATT shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 7.2% decline. Moderate conviction.
See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$106.17
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$65.93
34.3% Margin of Safety

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 23.4x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: TATT is currently trading at $43.29, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $37.33 to $45.41. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 18.7) compared to its historical average (23.4). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 7.2% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.

Technical Outlook: Technically, TATT is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $40.99, while resistance sits at $47.00.

Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $60.71 (+39.1%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position FAIR
Historical Trading Range $37.33 - $45.41
Company Quality Score 58/100 (HOLD)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 72.4%

All Signals

  • NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
  • NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (55/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BULLISH: Trading 39.1% below Wall St target ($60.71)

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $37.33 - $45.41
Current vs Trading Range FAIR

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $40.99
Resistance Level $47.00
Current Trend Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of Jun 23, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 18.73
Wall Street Target $60.71 (+39.1%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) -2.4%
Earnings Growth (YoY) -23.5%
Profit Margin 9.3%
Valuation Discount vs History -7.2% cheaper
PE vs Historical 18.7 vs 23.4 CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): -7.2% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $40.50 (-7%)
2-Year Target $37.59 (-14%)
3-Year Target $34.88 (-20%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 19→23) $43.57 (0%)
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 21.8, Growth: 36.3%) $128.38 (+194%)
Base: (SPY PE: 18.7, Growth: 36.3%) $110.41 (+153%)
Bear: (PE: 15.9, Growth: 36.3%) $93.85 (+115%)
📈 Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (37x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (19x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 36.53 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.28
Bull Case $93.63 (+115%)
Analyst growth 82.0%, PE expands to 40.2
Base Case $85.12 (+95%)
Market implied 82.0%, PE stable at 36.5
Bear Case $31.80 (-27%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 31.1
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡 Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 18.7 to 23.4
Stabilization Target: $54.52 (+24.9%)
PE Expansion Potential: +24.9%
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Last updated: June 23, 2026 2:48 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:48 PM
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Insider Activity (6 Months)
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NEUTRAL

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