TATT Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

TATT - TAT Technologies Ltd

Aircraft Engines & Engine Parts
$38.90
-1.89 (-4.63%) ▼
5d: -7.0%
30d: -19.14%
90d: +5.97%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 31, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 05, 2026 1d

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡
Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: TATT shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$102.54
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$63.67
38.9% Margin of Safety

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 22.6x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: TATT is currently trading at $38.90, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $40.52 to $45.98. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 16.7) compared to its historical average (22.6). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 9.6% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.

Technical Outlook: Technically, TATT is showing sideways momentum. The price is currently testing key support at $38.75. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 4.6% recently.

Market Sentiment: TATT has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $60.71 (+56.1%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range $40.52 - $45.98
Company Quality Score 46/100 (HOLD)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 52.4%

All Signals

  • BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
  • BEARISH: Weak technical setup (25/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BEARISH: Downward momentum (-4.6%)
  • BULLISH: Trading 56.1% below Wall St target ($60.71)
  • CAUTION: 5-day price weakness (-7.0%) - monitor closely

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $40.52 - $45.98
Current vs Trading Range OVERSOLD

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $38.75
Resistance Level $44.24
Current Trend Sideways
Technical data as of Jul 31, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 16.70
Wall Street Target $60.71 (+56.1%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) -2.4%
Earnings Growth (YoY) -23.5%
Profit Margin 9.3%
Valuation Discount vs History -9.6% cheaper
PE vs Historical 16.7 vs 22.6 CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): -9.6% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $35.17 (-10%)
2-Year Target $31.79 (-18%)
3-Year Target $28.74 (-26%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 17→23) $38.90 (0%)
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 20.7, Growth: 36.3%) $122.19 (+214%)
Base: (SPY PE: 16.7, Growth: 36.3%) $98.41 (+153%)
Bear: (PE: 14.2, Growth: 36.3%) $83.65 (+115%)
📈 Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (32x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (17x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 31.62 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.29
Bull Case $81.04 (+108%)
Analyst growth 80.6%, PE expands to 34.8
Base Case $73.68 (+89%)
Market implied 80.6%, PE stable at 31.6
Bear Case $27.74 (-29%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 26.9
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡 Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 16.7 to 22.6
Stabilization Target: $52.66 (+35.4%)
PE Expansion Potential: +35.4%
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Last updated: August 03, 2026 1:01 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:01 AM
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Insider Activity (6 Months)
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