TCPC Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
TCPC - BlackRock TCP Capital Corp. Common Stock
$3.23
-0.07 (-2.12%)
▼
5d:
-10.28%
30d:
-13.17%
90d:
-12.7%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jun 23, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 06, 2026
Get Alerted When TCPC Hits Your Target Price
Join 10,000+ traders who never miss a move
You're in! Check your email to confirm and set your target price.
100% Free
No spam, ever
Unsubscribe anytime
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
Loading chart...
Loading historical data...
Bottom Line:
⏸️ WAIT FOR STABILIZATION: TCPC is down 10.3% over the last 5 days. While fundamentals may be solid, catching a falling knife is risky. Wait for price to stabilize before entering.
⏸️ WAIT FOR STABILIZATION: TCPC is down 10.3% over the last 5 days. While fundamentals may be solid, catching a falling knife is risky. Wait for price to stabilize before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$3.24
Based on -4.7% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$2.01
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 5.9x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: TCPC is currently trading at $3.23, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $3.51 to $3.92. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 4.6) compared to its historical average (5.9). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 8.4% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 13.4% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, TCPC is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $3.61. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $4.17 (+29.0%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, TCPC is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $3.61. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $4.17 (+29.0%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$3.51 -
$3.92
Company Quality Score
57/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
79.5%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 29.0% below Wall St target ($4.17)
- WARNING: Recommendation downgraded due to -10.3% 5-day decline - wait for stabilization
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$3.51 -
$3.92
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$3.61
Resistance Level
$3.98
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
4.57
Wall Street Target
$4.17
(+29.0%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-23.8%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
13.4%
Profit Margin
-66.9%
Valuation Discount vs History
-8.4% cheaper
PE vs Historical
4.6 vs 5.9
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-8.4%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$2.96
(-8%)
2-Year Target
$2.71
(-16%)
3-Year Target
$2.48
(-23%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 5→6)
$3.21
(-1%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: -13.5%)
$11.23
(+248%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 4.6, Growth: -13.5%)
$2.35
(-27%)
Bear:
(PE: 3.9, Growth: -13.5%)
$2.00
(-38%)
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 4.6 to 5.9
Stabilization Target:
$4.17
(+29.2%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+29.2%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: June 24, 2026 8:54 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:54 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:54 AM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
|---|
Technical Signals Check
Is TCPC showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
2
Buys
0
Sells
+
Net
INSIDERS BUYING
Recent Transactions
Patrick Wolfe
BUY
6850 shares
2026-03-13
Patrick Wolfe
BUY
2075 shares
2026-03-13
Top Rated Asset Management Stocks
Top-rated stocks in Asset Management by analyst ratings.
| Stock | Analyst Consensus | Analyst Target | Tradestie Score |
|---|---|---|---|
|
BLK
BlackRock Inc |
STRONG BUY
17 analysts |
$1246 | 57 HOLD |
|
APO
Apollo Global Management… |
STRONG BUY
19 analysts |
$150 | 60 HOLD |
|
HASI
Hannon Armstrong Sustain… |
STRONG BUY
16 analysts |
$49 | 61 BUY |
|
BX
Blackstone Group Inc |
HOLD
23 analysts |
$143 | 57 HOLD |
|
OWL
Blue Owl Capital Inc |
STRONG BUY
15 analysts |
$13 | 56 HOLD |
