TEX Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
TEX - Terex Corporation
$65.21
-0.40 (-0.61%)
▼
5d:
-2.1%
30d:
+3.87%
90d:
+2.98%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 14, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 30, 2026
14d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: TEX shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 2.4% growth. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: TEX shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 2.4% growth. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$102.83
Based on 11.1% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$63.85
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 10.6x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: TEX is currently trading at $65.21, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $61.72 to $70.15. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 11.3) is in line with its historical norms (10.6). At these levels, the market is pricing in 2.4% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, TEX is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $65.95. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $77.71 (+19.2%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, TEX is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $65.95. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $77.71 (+19.2%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$61.72 -
$70.15
Company Quality Score
52/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
73.3%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($77.71)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 2.4% growth with 41.1% revenue growth
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$61.72 -
$70.15
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$55.55
Resistance Level
$65.95
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
11.32
Wall Street Target
$77.71
(+19.2%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
41.1%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-25.2%
Profit Margin
1.9%
Valuation Premium vs History
+2.4% premium
PE vs Historical
11.3 vs 10.6
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+2.4%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$66.78
(+2%)
2-Year Target
$68.38
(+5%)
3-Year Target
$70.02
(+7%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 11→11)
PE COMPRESSION
$65.57
(+1%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 18.2%)
$207.42
(+218%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 11.3, Growth: 18.2%)
$107.81
(+65%)
Bear:
(PE: 9.6, Growth: 18.2%)
$91.64
(+41%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (33x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (11x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 32.91 | Current EPS (TTM): $2.05
Bull Case
$148.43
(+128%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 36.2
Base Case
$134.94
(+107%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 32.9
Bear Case
$45.88
(-30%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 28.0
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 15, 2026 1:15 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:15 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:15 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is TEX showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
1
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Kieran Hegarty
SELL
11980 shares
2026-02-17
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