TH Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
TH - Target Hospitality Corp. Common Stock
$15.79
0.59 (3.88%)
▲
5d:
-1.93%
30d:
-14.51%
90d:
+7.56%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 31, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 06, 2026
1d
Smart Money Accumulation
None View Scanner →
Strength: 7.2/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: TH shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 13.7% decline. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: TH shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 13.7% decline. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$24.52
Based on 7.0% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$15.22
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: TH is currently trading at $15.79, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $15.78 to $19.54. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 22.6) compared to its historical average (35.1). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 13.7% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, TH is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $14.08, while resistance sits at $17.12. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 3.9% recently.
Market Sentiment: TH has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $22.75 (+44.1%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, TH is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $14.08, while resistance sits at $17.12. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 3.9% recently.
Market Sentiment: TH has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $22.75 (+44.1%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$15.78 -
$19.54
Company Quality Score
53/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
61.9%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (25/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Strong upward momentum (+3.9%)
- BULLISH: Trading 44.1% below Wall St target ($22.75)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$15.78 -
$19.54
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$14.08
Resistance Level
$17.12
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Aug 3, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
22.56
Wall Street Target
$22.75
(+44.1%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
4.1%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-59.1%
Profit Margin
-13.5%
Valuation Discount vs History
-13.7% cheaper
PE vs Historical
22.6 vs 35.1
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-13.7%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$14.21
(-10%)
2-Year Target
$12.79
(-19%)
3-Year Target
$11.51
(-27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 23→35)
$17.91
(+13%)
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 22.6 to 35.1
Stabilization Target:
$24.57
(+55.6%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+55.6%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 04, 2026 5:07 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:07 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:07 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is TH showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's TH price and gamma walls.
