TOYO Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
TOYO - TOYO Co., Ltd Ordinary Shares
$7.91
-5.02 (-38.82%)
βΌ
5d:
-35.9%
30d:
-46.52%
90d:
-5.95%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jun 24, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 19, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
βΈοΈ WAIT FOR STABILIZATION: TOYO is down 35.9% over the last 5 days. While fundamentals may be solid, catching a falling knife is risky. Wait for price to stabilize before entering.
βΈοΈ WAIT FOR STABILIZATION: TOYO is down 35.9% over the last 5 days. While fundamentals may be solid, catching a falling knife is risky. Wait for price to stabilize before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$26.46
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$16.43
51.9% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 3.6x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: TOYO is currently trading at $7.91, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $11.93 to $15.75. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 2.1) compared to its historical average (3.6). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 16.2% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 69.8% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, TOYO is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $8.14. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 38.8% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $16.50 (+108.6%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, TOYO is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $8.14. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 38.8% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $16.50 (+108.6%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$11.93 -
$15.75
Company Quality Score
51/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
74.8%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Downward momentum (-38.8%)
- BULLISH: Trading 108.6% below Wall St target ($16.50)
- WARNING: Recommendation downgraded due to -35.9% 5-day decline - wait for stabilization
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$11.93 -
$15.75
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$8.14
Resistance Level
$13.64
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jun 24, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
2.10
Wall Street Target
$16.50
(+108.6%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
177.0%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
69.8%
Profit Margin
13.8%
Valuation Discount vs History
-16.2% cheaper
PE vs Historical
2.1 vs 3.6
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-16.2%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$7.12
(-10%)
2-Year Target
$6.41
(-19%)
3-Year Target
$5.77
(-27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 2β4)
$9.91
(+25%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 59.3%)
$277.49
(+3408%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 2.1, Growth: 59.3%)
$26.70
(+238%)
Bear:
(PE: 1.8, Growth: 59.3%)
$22.69
(+187%)
π
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (7x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (2x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 6.63 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.95
Bull Case
$27.53
(+248%)
Analyst growth 93.6%, PE expands to 7.3
Base Case
$25.03
(+217%)
Market implied 93.6%, PE stable at 6.6
Bear Case
$8.79
(11%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 5.6
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
π‘
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 2.1 to 3.6
Stabilization Target:
$13.59
(+71.8%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+71.8%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: June 25, 2026 2:17 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:17 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:17 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is TOYO showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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