TOYO Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
TOYO - TOYO Co., Ltd Ordinary Shares
$3.94
0.08 (2.07%)
▲
5d:
-1.5%
30d:
-9.43%
90d:
-18.26%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 22, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Nov 18, 2026
25d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: TOYO shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: TOYO shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$17.61
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$10.94
64.0% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 2.7x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: TOYO is currently trading at $3.94, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $4.09 to $4.43. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 1.1) compared to its historical average (2.7). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 24.8% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 181.3% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, TOYO is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $3.81, while resistance sits at $4.37.
Market Sentiment: TOYO scores 25/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $14.00 (+262.7%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, TOYO is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $3.81, while resistance sits at $4.37.
Market Sentiment: TOYO scores 25/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $14.00 (+262.7%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$4.09 -
$4.43
Company Quality Score
43/100
(HOLD)
Options IV Signal
51th percentile
(NORMAL)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
59.6%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Options fairly priced (IV 51th percentile)
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (25/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 262.7% below Wall St target ($14.00)
- WARNING: Composite score 43/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$4.09 -
$4.43
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Expected Move (7 Days)
±$0.54
(13.8%)
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$3.81
Resistance Level
$4.37
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Oct 23, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
1.15
Wall Street Target
$14.00
(+262.7%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
35.0%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
181.3%
Profit Margin
14.9%
Valuation Discount vs History
-24.8% cheaper
PE vs Historical
1.2 vs 2.7
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-24.8%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$3.47
(-10%)
2-Year Target
$3.13
(-19%)
3-Year Target
$2.81
(-27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 1→3)
$6.59
(+71%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 19.9, Growth: 76.3%)
$224.54
(+5717%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 1.2, Growth: 76.3%)
$13.03
(+238%)
Bear:
(PE: 1.0, Growth: 76.3%)
$11.07
(+187%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (2x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (1x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 1.81 | Current EPS (TTM): $2.23
Bull Case
$6.66
(+73%)
Analyst growth 50.2%, PE expands to 2.0
Base Case
$6.05
(+57%)
Market implied 50.2%, PE stable at 1.8
Bear Case
$2.74
(-29%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 1.5
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 1.2 to 2.7
Stabilization Target:
$9.05
(+134.3%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+134.3%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 23, 2026 4:14 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:14 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:14 PM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
|---|
Technical Signals Check
Is TOYO showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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