TOYO Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
TOYO - TOYO Co., Ltd Ordinary Shares
$4.37
0.11 (2.58%)
▲
5d:
-2.24%
30d:
+1.86%
90d:
-35.07%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 2, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Nov 18, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: TOYO shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: TOYO shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$18.27
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$11.34
61.5% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 2.8x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: TOYO is currently trading at $4.37, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $4.26 to $4.56. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 1.3) compared to its historical average (2.8). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 22.8% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 181.3% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, TOYO is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $4.17, while resistance sits at $4.61.
Market Sentiment: TOYO scores 63/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $14.00 (+220.4%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, TOYO is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $4.17, while resistance sits at $4.61.
Market Sentiment: TOYO scores 63/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $14.00 (+220.4%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$4.26 -
$4.56
Company Quality Score
47/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
90.5%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (63/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 220.4% below Wall St target ($14.00)
- WARNING: Composite score 47/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$4.26 -
$4.56
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$4.17
Resistance Level
$4.61
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Oct 2, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
1.30
Wall Street Target
$14.00
(+220.4%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
35.0%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
181.3%
Profit Margin
14.9%
Valuation Discount vs History
-22.8% cheaper
PE vs Historical
1.3 vs 2.8
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-22.8%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$3.93
(-10%)
2-Year Target
$3.54
(-19%)
3-Year Target
$3.19
(-27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 1→3)
$6.84
(+57%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.4, Growth: 76.3%)
$230.65
(+5178%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 1.3, Growth: 76.3%)
$14.75
(+238%)
Bear:
(PE: 1.1, Growth: 76.3%)
$12.54
(+187%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (2x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (1x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 1.93 | Current EPS (TTM): $2.21
Bull Case
$7.10
(+63%)
Analyst growth 51.6%, PE expands to 2.1
Base Case
$6.46
(+48%)
Market implied 51.6%, PE stable at 1.9
Bear Case
$2.90
(-34%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 1.6
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 1.3 to 2.8
Stabilization Target:
$9.38
(+114.6%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+114.6%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 03, 2026 3:03 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:03 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:03 PM
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| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
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Technical Signals Check
Is TOYO showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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