TOYO
TOYO Co., Ltd Ordinary Shares
Miscellaneous Manufacturing Industries
TOYO Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
$4.73
-0.37 (-7.25%)
âŧ
5d:
-4.64%
30d:
+13.43%
90d:
-22.08%
QUANTITATIVE VERDICT
WAIT
LOW Confidence (44%)
Quality Score
31/100
Position
SLIGHTLY HIGH
30-Day Fair Range
$3.96 â $4.92
Position: SLIGHTLY HIGH
Forward P/E & Valuation
1.5x
CHEAP
vs 2.6x historical avg
Wall Street Target
$14.00
+174.5% upside
Options IV & Volume
48th pct IV
HIGH volume confirmation
Support / Resistance
$4.38 / $5.56
Trend: Downtrend
Executive Thesis & Bottom Line
Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: TOYO is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At -16.5% expected growth, valuation appears cheap. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$16.96
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$10.53
55.1% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 2.6x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: TOYO is currently trading at $4.73, which is considered slightly high relative to its 30-day fair value range of $3.96 to $4.92. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 1.5) compared to its historical average (2.6). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 16.5% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 181.3% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, TOYO is in a downtrend. Immediate support is located at $4.38, while resistance sits at $5.56. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 7.3% recently.
Market Sentiment: TOYO scores 0/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $14.00 (+174.5%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, TOYO is in a downtrend. Immediate support is located at $4.38, while resistance sits at $5.56. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 7.3% recently.
Market Sentiment: TOYO scores 0/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $14.00 (+174.5%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Historical Trading Range
$3.96 -
$4.92
Company Quality Score
31/100
(SELL)
Options IV Signal
48th percentile
(NORMAL)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
44.2%
Trading Range & Key Levels
30-Day Trading Range
$3.96 -
$4.92
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Expected Move (7 Days)
Âą$0.74
(15.7%)
Support Level
$4.38
Resistance Level
$5.56
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
Nov 12, 2026
Quantitative Signal Breakdown
- NEUTRAL: Options fairly priced (IV 48th percentile)
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (0/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Downward momentum (-7.3%)
- BULLISH: Trading 174.5% below Wall St target ($14.00)
- WARNING: Composite score 31/100 in the bottom quintile â this cohort historically lags the market
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
1.52
Wall Street Target
$14.00
(+174.5%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
35.0%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
181.3%
Profit Margin
14.9%
Valuation Discount vs History
-16.5% cheaper
PE vs Historical
1.5 vs 2.6
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-16.5%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$4.59
(-10%)
2-Year Target
$4.13
(-19%)
3-Year Target
$3.72
(-27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 2â3)
$6.35
(+25%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 19.9, Growth: 76.3%)
$224.54
(+4303%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 1.5, Growth: 76.3%)
$17.21
(+238%)
Bear:
(PE: 1.3, Growth: 76.3%)
$14.63
(+187%)
đ
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (2x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (2x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 2.43 | Current EPS (TTM): $2.04
Bull Case
$8.94
(+75%)
Analyst growth 64.2%, PE expands to 2.7
Base Case
$8.13
(+59%)
Market implied 64.2%, PE stable at 2.4
Bear Case
$3.37
(-34%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 2.1
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
đĄ
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 1.5 to 2.6
Stabilization Target:
$8.71
(+70.8%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+70.8%
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bloggers & journalists: you are free to use our charts with attribution.Reddit & Retail Trader Sentiment (TOYO)
Bullish
2 Retail Mentions
Reddit / WSB Comments
1
Bearish
StockTwits Volume
1 msgs
24h retail stream
Last Tracked
Nov 11, 2026
Daily AI digest
AI Retail Discussion Summary:
Bullish sentiment prevails on StockTwits as traders express confidence in $TOYO and refuse to sell.
Key Retail Themes:
trader confidence
refusal to sell
Aggregated from r/wallstreetbets, r/stocks & StockTwits streams.
View All Trending Reddit & WSB Stocks →
Last updated: November 12, 2026 3:35 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:35 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:35 PM
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Technical Signals Check
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Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
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