TOYO Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
TOYO - TOYO Co., Ltd Ordinary Shares
$6.05
-0.12 (-1.94%)
▼
5d:
-6.42%
30d:
-53.21%
90d:
-43.03%
HOLD
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 10, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 17, 2026
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4 traders called TOYO this week
100% bullish • 0 bearish
100% bullish • 0 bearish
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: TOYO shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: TOYO shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$22.05
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$13.69
55.8% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 3.4x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: TOYO is currently trading at $6.05, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $7.33 to $14.55. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 1.8) compared to its historical average (3.4). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 18.9% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 69.8% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, TOYO is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $6.01. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $16.50 (+172.7%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, TOYO is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $6.01. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $16.50 (+172.7%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$7.33 -
$14.55
Company Quality Score
49/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
79.5%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 172.7% below Wall St target ($16.50)
- CAUTION: Recommendation downgraded due to -6.4% 5-day decline
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$7.33 -
$14.55
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$6.01
Resistance Level
$7.45
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jul 10, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
1.82
Wall Street Target
$16.50
(+172.7%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
177.0%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
69.8%
Profit Margin
13.8%
Valuation Discount vs History
-18.9% cheaper
PE vs Historical
1.8 vs 3.4
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-18.9%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$5.45
(-10%)
2-Year Target
$4.90
(-19%)
3-Year Target
$4.41
(-27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 2→3)
$8.25
(+36%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 45.1%)
$221.56
(+3562%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 1.8, Growth: 45.1%)
$18.48
(+206%)
Bear:
(PE: 1.5, Growth: 45.1%)
$15.71
(+160%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (3x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (2x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 3.35 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.84
Bull Case
$12.28
(+103%)
Analyst growth 81.0%, PE expands to 3.7
Base Case
$11.17
(+85%)
Market implied 81.0%, PE stable at 3.4
Bear Case
$4.20
(-31%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 2.9
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 1.8 to 3.4
Stabilization Target:
$11.32
(+87.1%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+87.1%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 13, 2026 9:19 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:19 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:19 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is TOYO showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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