TOYO Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
TOYO - TOYO Co., Ltd Ordinary Shares
$4.82
0.31 (6.76%)
▲
5d:
-20.59%
30d:
-2.82%
90d:
-66.41%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Aug 21, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 19, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
⏸️ WAIT FOR STABILIZATION: TOYO is down 20.6% over the last 5 days. While fundamentals may be solid, catching a falling knife is risky. Wait for price to stabilize before entering.
⏸️ WAIT FOR STABILIZATION: TOYO is down 20.6% over the last 5 days. While fundamentals may be solid, catching a falling knife is risky. Wait for price to stabilize before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$20.10
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$12.48
61.4% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 3.1x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: TOYO is currently trading at $4.82, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $4.81 to $5.72. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 1.4) compared to its historical average (3.1). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 24.1% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 69.8% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, TOYO is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $4.26, while resistance sits at $6.25. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 6.8% recently.
Market Sentiment: TOYO scores 25/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $16.50 (+265.4%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, TOYO is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $4.26, while resistance sits at $6.25. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 6.8% recently.
Market Sentiment: TOYO scores 25/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $16.50 (+265.4%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$4.81 -
$5.72
Company Quality Score
42/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
61.9%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (25/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Strong upward momentum (+6.8%)
- BULLISH: Trading 265.4% below Wall St target ($16.50)
- WARNING: Composite score 42/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$4.81 -
$5.72
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$4.26
Resistance Level
$6.25
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Aug 21, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
1.36
Wall Street Target
$16.50
(+265.4%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
177.0%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
69.8%
Profit Margin
13.8%
Valuation Discount vs History
-24.1% cheaper
PE vs Historical
1.4 vs 3.1
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-24.1%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$4.06
(-10%)
2-Year Target
$3.66
(-19%)
3-Year Target
$3.29
(-27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 1→3)
$7.53
(+67%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.1, Growth: 45.1%)
$204.16
(+4422%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 1.4, Growth: 45.1%)
$13.79
(+206%)
Bear:
(PE: 1.2, Growth: 45.1%)
$11.72
(+160%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (3x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (1x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 2.93 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.48
Bull Case
$9.54
(+98%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 3.2
Base Case
$8.67
(+80%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 2.9
Bear Case
$2.95
(-39%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 2.5
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 1.4 to 3.1
Stabilization Target:
$10.32
(+128.6%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+128.6%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 24, 2026 6:57 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:57 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:57 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is TOYO showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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