TOYO Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
TOYO - TOYO Co., Ltd Ordinary Shares
$4.40
0.02 (0.46%)
▲
5d:
+0.46%
30d:
-21.99%
90d:
-67.41%
HOLD
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Sep 11, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 19, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: TOYO shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: TOYO shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$19.57
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$12.15
63.8% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 3.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: TOYO is currently trading at $4.40, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $4.27 to $5.48. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 1.3) compared to its historical average (3.0). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 24.0% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 181.3% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, TOYO is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $4.12, while resistance sits at $4.64.
Market Sentiment: TOYO scores 70/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $14.00 (+218.2%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, TOYO is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $4.12, while resistance sits at $4.64.
Market Sentiment: TOYO scores 70/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $14.00 (+218.2%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
Historical Trading Range
$4.27 -
$5.48
Company Quality Score
57/100
(HOLD)
Options IV Signal
58th percentile
(NORMAL)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
86.5%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Options fairly priced (IV 58th percentile)
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (70/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 218.2% below Wall St target ($14.00)
- CAUTION: Bottoming setup, but lagging the sector by 19% over 20 days — wait for relative strength
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$4.27 -
$5.48
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY LOW
Expected Move (7 Days)
±$0.68
(15.4%)
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$4.12
Resistance Level
$4.64
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Sep 11, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
1.31
Wall Street Target
$14.00
(+218.2%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
35.0%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
181.3%
Profit Margin
14.9%
Valuation Discount vs History
-24.0% cheaper
PE vs Historical
1.3 vs 3.0
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-24.0%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$3.96
(-10%)
2-Year Target
$3.56
(-19%)
3-Year Target
$3.21
(-27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 1→3)
$7.33
(+67%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.2, Growth: 76.3%)
$228.05
(+5083%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 1.3, Growth: 76.3%)
$14.85
(+238%)
Bear:
(PE: 1.1, Growth: 76.3%)
$12.62
(+187%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (2x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (1x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 1.93 | Current EPS (TTM): $2.27
Bull Case
$7.11
(+62%)
Analyst growth 47.6%, PE expands to 2.1
Base Case
$6.46
(+47%)
Market implied 47.6%, PE stable at 1.9
Bear Case
$2.98
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 1.6
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 1.3 to 3.0
Stabilization Target:
$10.05
(+128.4%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+128.4%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: September 13, 2026 10:57 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:57 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:57 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is TOYO showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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