TPC Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
TPC - Tutor Perini Corporation
$79.53
-2.03 (-2.49%)
▼
5d:
+1.97%
30d:
+328.96%
90d:
+4.32%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jun 26, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 05, 2026
Get Alerted When TPC Hits Your Target Price
Join 10,000+ traders who never miss a move
You're in! Check your email to confirm and set your target price.
100% Free
No spam, ever
Unsubscribe anytime
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
Loading chart...
Loading historical data...
Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: TPC shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 9.9% growth. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: TPC shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 9.9% growth. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$101.74
Based on 11.4% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$63.17
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 9.9x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: TPC is currently trading at $79.53, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $19.17 to $78.22. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 13.2) compared to its historical average (9.9). At these levels, the market is pricing in 9.9% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, TPC is in a downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $76.23. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: TPC has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $113.25 (+42.4%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, TPC is in a downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $76.23. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: TPC has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $113.25 (+42.4%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$19.17 -
$78.22
Company Quality Score
53/100
(HOLD)
Options IV Signal
31th percentile
(NORMAL)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
66.2%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- NEUTRAL: Options fairly priced (IV 31th percentile)
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 42.4% below Wall St target ($113.25)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 9.9% growth with 11.5% revenue growth
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$19.17 -
$78.22
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Expected Move (7 Days)
±$7.49
(9.4%)
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$17.76
Resistance Level
$76.23
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
13.20
Wall Street Target
$113.25
(+42.4%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
11.5%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-9.4%
Profit Margin
1.4%
Valuation Premium vs History
+9.9% premium
PE vs Historical
13.2 vs 9.9
STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+9.9%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$87.40
(+10%)
2-Year Target
$96.06
(+21%)
3-Year Target
$105.57
(+33%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 13→10)
PE COMPRESSION
$79.15
(-1%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 18.8%)
$219.96
(+177%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 13.2, Growth: 18.8%)
$133.35
(+68%)
Bear:
(PE: 9.9, Growth: 18.8%)
$99.98
(+26%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (14x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (13x PE) as earnings recover.
Forward PE: 14.01 | Forward EPS (Implied): $5.68
Bull Case
$96.03
(+21%)
Analyst growth 15.0%, PE expands to 14.7
Base Case
$79.53
(0%)
Market implied 0.0%, PE stable at 14.0
Bear Case
$60.84
(-24%)
Severe decline -15.0%, PE contracts to 12.6
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: June 29, 2026 1:58 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:58 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:58 AM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
|---|
Technical Signals Check
Is TPC showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
4
Buys
0
Sells
+
Net
INSIDERS BUYING
Recent Transactions
Peter Arkley
BUY
8117 shares
2026-03-06
Peter Arkley
BUY
10999 shares
2026-03-05
Gary G Smalley
BUY
10000 shares
2026-03-04
Top Rated Engineering & Construction Stocks
Top-rated stocks in Engineering & Construction by analyst ratings.
| Stock | Analyst Consensus | Analyst Target | Tradestie Score |
|---|---|---|---|
|
PWR
Quanta Services Inc |
STRONG BUY
30 analysts |
$761 | 59 HOLD |
|
MTZ
MasTec Inc |
STRONG BUY
17 analysts |
$466 | 59 HOLD |
|
ACM
Aecom Technology Corpora… |
STRONG BUY
13 analysts |
$105 | 62 BUY |
|
J
Jacobs Solutions Inc. |
BUY
17 analysts |
$158 | 59 HOLD |
|
DY
Dycom Industries Inc |
STRONG BUY
9 analysts |
$637 | 59 HOLD |
