TRI Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
TRI - Thomson Reuters Corporation Common Shares
$80.19
3.64 (4.76%)
▲
5d:
-0.35%
30d:
-6.28%
90d:
-11.93%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jun 22, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 05, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: TRI shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 10.9% decline. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: TRI shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 10.9% decline. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$167.16
Based on 9.2% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$103.79
22.7% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 21.4x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: TRI is currently trading at $80.19, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $79.94 to $87.29. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 15.1) compared to its historical average (21.4). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 10.9% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 5.6% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, TRI is in a downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $81.63. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 4.8% recently.
Market Sentiment: TRI has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $123.00 (+60.7%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, TRI is in a downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $81.63. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 4.8% recently.
Market Sentiment: TRI has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $123.00 (+60.7%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$79.94 -
$87.29
Company Quality Score
50/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
61.9%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (25/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Strong upward momentum (+4.8%)
- BULLISH: Trading 60.7% below Wall St target ($123.00)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$79.94 -
$87.29
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$81.63
Resistance Level
$94.10
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
15.14
Wall Street Target
$123.00
(+60.7%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
9.8%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
5.6%
Profit Margin
19.9%
Valuation Discount vs History
-10.9% cheaper
PE vs Historical
15.1 vs 21.4
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-10.9%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$68.89
(-10%)
2-Year Target
$62.01
(-19%)
3-Year Target
$55.80
(-27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 15→21)
$78.88
(+3%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 14.3%)
$164.35
(+115%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 15.1, Growth: 14.3%)
$114.24
(+49%)
Bear:
(PE: 12.9, Growth: 14.3%)
$97.11
(+27%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (23x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (15x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 22.65 | Current EPS (TTM): $3.47
Bull Case
$125.95
(+65%)
Analyst growth 45.7%, PE expands to 24.9
Base Case
$114.50
(+50%)
Market implied 45.7%, PE stable at 22.7
Bear Case
$53.43
(-30%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 19.3
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 15.1 to 21.4
Stabilization Target:
$108.20
(+41.3%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+41.3%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: June 23, 2026 12:27 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:27 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:27 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is TRI showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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