TRNS Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
TRNS - Transcat Inc
$92.50
0.99 (1.08%)
â˛
5d:
-1.28%
30d:
+5.94%
90d:
+30.65%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Aug 21, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 04, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: TRNS is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At 7.2% expected growth, valuation appears stretched. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: TRNS is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At 7.2% expected growth, valuation appears stretched. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$79.05
Based on 9.0% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$49.08
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: TRNS is currently trading at $92.50, which is considered slightly high relative to its 30-day fair value range of $85.92 to $93.88. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 44.8) compared to its historical average (36.4). At these levels, the market is pricing in 7.2% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, TRNS is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $89.20, while resistance sits at $100.00.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 41/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $104.33 (+12.8%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, TRNS is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $89.20, while resistance sits at $100.00.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 41/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $104.33 (+12.8%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Historical Trading Range
$85.92 -
$93.88
Company Quality Score
52/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
66.2%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (41/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($104.33)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 7.2% growth with 21.6% revenue growth
- WARNING: Composite score 52/100 in the bottom quintile â this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$85.92 -
$93.88
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$89.20
Resistance Level
$100.00
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Aug 21, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
44.79
Wall Street Target
$104.33
(+12.8%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
21.6%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-60.0%
Profit Margin
1.0%
Valuation Premium vs History
+7.2% premium
PE vs Historical
44.8 vs 36.4
STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+7.2%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$99.16
(+7%)
2-Year Target
$106.30
(+15%)
3-Year Target
$113.95
(+23%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 45â36)
PE COMPRESSION
$92.60
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 44.8, Growth: 13.9%)
$136.79
(+48%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 20.1, Growth: 13.9%)
$61.29
(-34%)
Bear:
(PE: 17.1, Growth: 13.9%)
$52.10
(-44%)
đ
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (52x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (45x PE) as earnings recover.
Forward PE: 52.36 | Forward EPS (Implied): $1.77
Bull Case
$111.69
(+21%)
Analyst growth 15.0%, PE expands to 55.0
Base Case
$92.50
(0%)
Market implied 0.0%, PE stable at 52.4
Bear Case
$70.76
(-24%)
Severe decline -15.0%, PE contracts to 47.1
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 23, 2026 9:12 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:12 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:12 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is TRNS showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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