TRNS Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
TRNS - Transcat Inc
$89.73
-2.59 (-2.81%)
▼
5d:
+2.69%
30d:
-1.2%
90d:
+7.69%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 14, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 05, 2026
21d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: TRNS shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 8.4% growth. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: TRNS shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 8.4% growth. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$79.05
Based on 9.0% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$49.08
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: TRNS is currently trading at $89.73, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $88.73 to $92.17. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 44.7) compared to its historical average (35.1). At these levels, the market is pricing in 8.4% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, TRNS is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $68.86, while resistance sits at $94.76.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, TRNS is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $68.86, while resistance sits at $94.76.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$88.73 -
$92.17
Company Quality Score
53/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
71.0%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($101.33)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 8.4% growth with 15.8% revenue growth
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$88.73 -
$92.17
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$68.87
Resistance Level
$94.76
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
44.71
Wall Street Target
$101.33
(+9.8%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
15.8%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-58.3%
Profit Margin
1.6%
Valuation Premium vs History
+8.4% premium
PE vs Historical
44.7 vs 35.1
STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+8.4%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$100.07
(+8%)
2-Year Target
$108.48
(+18%)
3-Year Target
$117.59
(+27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 45→35)
PE COMPRESSION
$92.32
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 44.7, Growth: 13.9%)
$136.53
(+48%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 21.8, Growth: 13.9%)
$66.51
(-28%)
Bear:
(PE: 18.5, Growth: 13.9%)
$56.54
(-39%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (57x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (45x PE) as earnings recover.
Forward PE: 57.14 | Forward EPS (Implied): $1.62
Bull Case
$111.48
(+21%)
Analyst growth 15.0%, PE expands to 60.0
Base Case
$92.32
(0%)
Market implied 0.0%, PE stable at 57.1
Bear Case
$70.62
(-24%)
Severe decline -15.0%, PE contracts to 51.4
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 14, 2026 4:57 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:57 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:57 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is TRNS showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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