TRS Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
TRS - Trimas Corporation
$40.53
-0.88 (-2.13%)
▼
5d:
-1.94%
30d:
+0.25%
90d:
+5.16%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 13, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 30, 2026
15d
Get Alerted When TRS Hits Your Target Price
Join 10,000+ traders who never miss a move
You're in! Check your email to confirm and set your target price.
100% Free
No spam, ever
Unsubscribe anytime
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
Loading chart...
Loading historical data...
Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: TRS appears deeply undervalued. Market expects -5.3% annual earnings decline despite 6896% recent earnings growth. Contrarian opportunity at discount to historical valuation.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: TRS appears deeply undervalued. Market expects -5.3% annual earnings decline despite 6896% recent earnings growth. Contrarian opportunity at discount to historical valuation.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$92.97
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$57.73
29.8% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 22.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: TRS is currently trading at $40.53, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $40.38 to $43.71. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 18.7) compared to its historical average (22.0). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 5.3% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 6895.6% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, TRS is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $41.68. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $45.00 (+11.0%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, TRS is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $41.68. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $45.00 (+11.0%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
Historical Trading Range
$40.38 -
$43.71
Company Quality Score
57/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
77.1%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($45.00)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$40.38 -
$43.71
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY LOW
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$38.79
Resistance Level
$41.68
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
18.68
Wall Street Target
$45.00
(+11.0%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
10.4%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
6895.6%
Profit Margin
137.3%
Valuation Discount vs History
-5.3% cheaper
PE vs Historical
18.7 vs 22.0
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-5.3%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$38.38
(-5%)
2-Year Target
$36.35
(-10%)
3-Year Target
$34.42
(-15%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 19→22)
$40.54
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 29.7%)
$103.14
(+155%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 18.7, Growth: 29.7%)
$88.44
(+118%)
Bear:
(PE: 15.9, Growth: 29.7%)
$75.18
(+86%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (25x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (19x PE) as earnings recover.
Forward PE: 24.69 | Forward EPS (Implied): $1.64
Bull Case
$48.94
(+21%)
Analyst growth 15.0%, PE expands to 25.9
Base Case
$40.53
(0%)
Market implied 0.0%, PE stable at 24.7
Bear Case
$31.01
(-24%)
Severe decline -15.0%, PE contracts to 22.2
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 18.7 to 22.0
Stabilization Target:
$47.74
(+17.8%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+17.8%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 13, 2026 8:48 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:48 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:48 PM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
|---|
Technical Signals Check
Is TRS showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
1
Buys
0
Sells
+
Net
INSIDERS BUYING
Recent Transactions
Daniel P Tredwell
BUY
60 shares
2026-03-05
Top Rated Packaging & Containers Stocks
Top-rated stocks in Packaging & Containers by analyst ratings.
| Stock | Analyst Consensus | Analyst Target | Tradestie Score |
|---|---|---|---|
|
SW
Smurfit WestRock plc |
STRONG BUY
15 analysts |
$54 | 53 HOLD |
|
SLGN
Silgan Holdings Inc |
STRONG BUY
12 analysts |
$54 | 65 BUY |
|
SEE
Sealed Air Corporation |
BUY
17 analysts |
$45 | 64 BUY |
|
CCK
Crown Holdings Inc |
STRONG BUY
15 analysts |
$125 | 59 HOLD |
|
BALL
Ball Corporation |
BUY
17 analysts |
$71 | 58 HOLD |
