TRS Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
TRS - Trimas Corporation
$39.38
0.81 (2.10%)
▲
5d:
+1.13%
30d:
-2.09%
90d:
+0.72%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Aug 21, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 30, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: TRS trading at deep discount. Market pricing in -5.5% annual earnings decline, creating value opportunity for patient investors.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: TRS trading at deep discount. Market pricing in -5.5% annual earnings decline, creating value opportunity for patient investors.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$88.92
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$55.21
28.7% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 21.6x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: TRS is currently trading at $39.38, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $39.02 to $40.58. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 18.2) compared to its historical average (21.6). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 5.5% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, TRS is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $38.04, while resistance sits at $40.95.
Market Sentiment: TRS scores 70/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $45.00 (+16.7%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, TRS is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $38.04, while resistance sits at $40.95.
Market Sentiment: TRS scores 70/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $45.00 (+16.7%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
Historical Trading Range
$39.02 -
$40.58
Company Quality Score
63/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
88.1%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (70/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($45.00)
- BULLISH: Bottoming setup score 70/100 — corrected, stabilizing, and turning up
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$39.02 -
$40.58
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY LOW
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$38.04
Resistance Level
$40.95
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Aug 21, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
18.25
Wall Street Target
$45.00
(+16.7%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
1.6%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-9.7%
Profit Margin
136.2%
Valuation Discount vs History
-5.5% cheaper
PE vs Historical
18.3 vs 21.6
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-5.5%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$36.45
(-6%)
2-Year Target
$34.44
(-11%)
3-Year Target
$32.55
(-16%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 18→22)
$38.53
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.1, Growth: 28.0%)
$88.91
(+131%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 18.2, Growth: 28.0%)
$80.82
(+110%)
Bear:
(PE: 15.5, Growth: 28.0%)
$68.70
(+78%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (19x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (18x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 18.52 | Current EPS (TTM): $2.08
Bull Case
$43.08
(+9%)
Analyst growth 1.6%, PE expands to 20.4
Base Case
$39.16
(-1%)
Market implied 1.6%, PE stable at 18.5
Bear Case
$26.20
(-34%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 15.8
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 18.2 to 21.6
Stabilization Target:
$45.66
(+18.4%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+18.4%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 23, 2026 5:46 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:46 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:46 PM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
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Technical Signals Check
Is TRS showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
1
Buys
0
Sells
+
Net
INSIDERS BUYING
Recent Transactions
Daniel P Tredwell
BUY
60 shares
2026-03-05
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