TSEM Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
TSEM - Tower Semiconductor Ltd
$229.68
6.93 (3.11%)
▲
5d:
+4.9%
30d:
-1.65%
90d:
+12.81%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 13, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 04, 2026
20d
Smart Money Accumulation
None View Scanner →
Strength: 7.3/10
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1 traders called TSEM this week
100% bullish • 0 bearish
100% bullish • 0 bearish
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: TSEM shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite slightly low pricing.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: TSEM shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite slightly low pricing.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$279.35
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$173.45
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: TSEM is currently trading at $229.68, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $225.24 to $277.29. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 40.0) is in line with its historical norms (40.2). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 0.2% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 62.9% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, TSEM is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $199.63, while resistance sits at $263.50. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 3.1% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $313.83 (+36.6%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, TSEM is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $199.63, while resistance sits at $263.50. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 3.1% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $313.83 (+36.6%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
Historical Trading Range
$225.24 -
$277.29
Company Quality Score
50/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
84.3%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Strong upward momentum (+3.1%)
- BULLISH: Trading 36.6% below Wall St target ($313.83)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$225.24 -
$277.29
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY LOW
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$199.63
Resistance Level
$263.50
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jul 13, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
40.03
Wall Street Target
$313.83
(+36.6%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
15.5%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
62.9%
Profit Margin
15.1%
Valuation Discount vs History
-0.2% cheaper
PE vs Historical
40.0 vs 40.2
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-0.2%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$229.22
(0%)
2-Year Target
$228.76
(0%)
3-Year Target
$228.30
(-1%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 40→40)
$229.29
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 40.0, Growth: 71.7%)
$775.17
(+238%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 21.8, Growth: 71.7%)
$421.79
(+84%)
Bear:
(PE: 18.5, Growth: 71.7%)
$358.52
(+56%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (66x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (40x PE) as earnings recover.
Forward PE: 66.23 | Forward EPS (Implied): $3.47
Bull Case
$277.34
(+21%)
Analyst growth 15.0%, PE expands to 69.5
Base Case
$229.68
(0%)
Market implied 0.0%, PE stable at 66.2
Bear Case
$175.71
(-24%)
Severe decline -15.0%, PE contracts to 59.6
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 40.0 to 40.2
Stabilization Target:
$230.67
(+0.4%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+0.4%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 14, 2026 8:44 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:44 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:44 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is TSEM showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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