TSLA Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
TSLA - Tesla, Inc. Common Stock
Smart Money Distribution
Options positioning is turning defensive after a sharp run-up - a pattern consistent with institutional profit-taking. View Scanner →
Signal fired Aug 7, 2026 at $328.58 · last confirmed Aug 21, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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âšī¸ NEUTRAL: TSLA is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At 0.1% expected growth, valuation appears fair. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Technical Outlook: Technically, TSLA is in a downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $366.50. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 5.1% recently.
Market Sentiment: TSLA scores 13/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $395.34 (+12.6%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
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View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (13/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Strong upward momentum (+5.1%)
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($395.34)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 0.1% growth with 25.5% revenue growth
- WARNING: Composite score 42/100 in the bottom quintile â this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
Support & Resistance Levels
Fundamental Context
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:40 AM
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Advanced TSLA Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's TSLA price and gamma walls.