TSLX Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
TSLX - Sixth Street Specialty Lending, Inc.
$17.06
-0.13 (-0.76%)
▼
5d:
-0.81%
30d:
-0.81%
90d:
-5.54%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 13, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 04, 2026
20d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: TSLX shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite fair pricing.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: TSLX shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite fair pricing.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$22.91
Based on 5.0% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$14.23
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 9.9x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: TSLX is currently trading at $17.06, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $16.55 to $17.29. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 9.4) is in line with its historical norms (9.9). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 1.6% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, TSLX is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $17.10. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: TSLX has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $19.70 (+15.5%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, TSLX is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $17.10. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: TSLX has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $19.70 (+15.5%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$16.55 -
$17.29
Company Quality Score
60/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
81.0%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($19.70)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$16.55 -
$17.29
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$17.10
Resistance Level
$18.12
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
9.39
Wall Street Target
$19.70
(+15.5%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-19.7%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-42.7%
Profit Margin
25.2%
Valuation Discount vs History
-1.6% cheaper
PE vs Historical
9.4 vs 9.9
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-1.6%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$16.79
(-2%)
2-Year Target
$16.52
(-3%)
3-Year Target
$16.25
(-5%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 9→10)
$17.15
(+1%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 5.9%)
$46.99
(+175%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 9.4, Growth: 5.9%)
$20.25
(+19%)
Bear:
(PE: 8.0, Growth: 5.9%)
$17.21
(+1%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (15x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (9x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 14.95 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.15
Bull Case
$29.89
(+75%)
Analyst growth 58.1%, PE expands to 16.4
Base Case
$27.17
(+59%)
Market implied 58.1%, PE stable at 15.0
Bear Case
$11.69
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 12.7
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 9.4 to 9.9
Stabilization Target:
$18.00
(+5.5%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+5.5%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 13, 2026 9:11 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:11 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:11 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is TSLX showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
4
Buys
0
Sells
+
Net
INSIDERS BUYING
Recent Transactions
Alan Waxman
BUY
45000 shares
2026-03-10
Alan Waxman
BUY
200000 shares
2026-03-09
Alan Waxman
BUY
200000 shares
2026-03-06
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