TSLX Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
TSLX - Sixth Street Specialty Lending, Inc.
$17.16
-0.08 (-0.46%)
▼
5d:
+2.63%
30d:
-1.04%
90d:
-12.45%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 31, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 04, 2026
TODAY
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: TSLX shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite fair pricing.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: TSLX shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite fair pricing.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$22.34
Based on 4.7% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$13.87
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 9.8x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: TSLX is currently trading at $17.16, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $16.77 to $17.45. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 9.5) is in line with its historical norms (9.8). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 1.1% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, TSLX is in a downtrend. Immediate support is located at $16.46, while resistance sits at $17.96.
Market Sentiment: TSLX has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $19.70 (+14.3%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, TSLX is in a downtrend. Immediate support is located at $16.46, while resistance sits at $17.96.
Market Sentiment: TSLX has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $19.70 (+14.3%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$16.77 -
$17.45
Company Quality Score
50/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
81.0%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($19.70)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$16.77 -
$17.45
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$16.46
Resistance Level
$17.96
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
Jul 31, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
9.51
Wall Street Target
$19.70
(+14.3%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-19.7%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-42.7%
Profit Margin
25.2%
Valuation Discount vs History
-1.1% cheaper
PE vs Historical
9.5 vs 9.8
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-1.1%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$17.05
(-1%)
2-Year Target
$16.86
(-2%)
3-Year Target
$16.68
(-3%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 10→10)
$17.18
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.8, Growth: 5.4%)
$44.13
(+156%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 9.5, Growth: 5.4%)
$20.17
(+17%)
Bear:
(PE: 8.1, Growth: 5.4%)
$17.15
(-1%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (15x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (10x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 14.86 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.19
Bull Case
$29.62
(+73%)
Analyst growth 52.3%, PE expands to 16.3
Base Case
$26.93
(+57%)
Market implied 52.3%, PE stable at 14.9
Bear Case
$12.02
(-30%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 12.6
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 9.5 to 9.8
Stabilization Target:
$17.76
(+3.0%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+3.0%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 03, 2026 2:30 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:30 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:30 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is TSLX showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
4
Buys
0
Sells
+
Net
INSIDERS BUYING
Recent Transactions
Alan Waxman
BUY
45000 shares
2026-03-10
Alan Waxman
BUY
200000 shares
2026-03-09
Alan Waxman
BUY
200000 shares
2026-03-06
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