TT Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
TT - Trane Technologies plc
$482.27
2.57 (0.54%)
▲
5d:
-1.02%
30d:
+7.38%
90d:
+3.56%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 10, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 30, 2026
16d
Smart Money Accumulation
None View Scanner →
Strength: 4.9/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: TT shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 1.4% growth. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: TT shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 1.4% growth. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$663.70
Based on 9.3% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$412.10
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: TT is currently trading at $482.27, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $459.75 to $485.93. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 28.1) is in line with its historical norms (27.0). At these levels, the market is pricing in 1.4% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, TT is in a uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $472.43. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, TT is in a uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $472.43. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$459.75 -
$485.93
Company Quality Score
62/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
71.0%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (55/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($522.37)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 1.4% growth with 6.0% revenue growth
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$459.75 -
$485.93
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$440.95
Resistance Level
$472.43
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
28.10
Wall Street Target
$522.37
(+8.9%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
6.0%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-2.1%
Profit Margin
13.4%
Valuation Premium vs History
+1.4% premium
PE vs Historical
28.1 vs 27.0
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+1.4%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$486.42
(+1%)
2-Year Target
$493.23
(+3%)
3-Year Target
$500.13
(+4%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 28→27)
PE COMPRESSION
$480.49
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 28.1, Growth: 14.6%)
$721.09
(+50%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 21.8, Growth: 14.6%)
$558.84
(+17%)
Bear:
(PE: 18.5, Growth: 14.6%)
$475.01
(-1%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (36x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (28x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 36.11 | Current EPS (TTM): $13.07
Bull Case
$678.06
(+41%)
Analyst growth 30.6%, PE expands to 39.7
Base Case
$616.42
(+29%)
Market implied 30.6%, PE stable at 36.1
Bear Case
$320.96
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 30.7
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 13, 2026 10:20 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:20 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:20 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is TT showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
1
Buys
10
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Christopher J Kuehn
SELL
8619 shares
2026-04-08
Ro Khanna
SELL
2026-03-30
Ro Khanna
SELL
2026-03-23
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