TZOO Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

TZOO - Travelzoo Common Stock

SERVICES-ADVERTISING
$7.23
0.10 (1.40%) β–²
5d: -27.88%
30d: -40.3%
90d: -26.15%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
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Analysis Updated: Jul 31, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Oct 28, 2026

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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πŸ’‘
Bottom Line:
⏸️ WAIT FOR STABILIZATION: TZOO is down 27.9% over the last 5 days. While fundamentals may be solid, catching a falling knife is risky. Wait for price to stabilize before entering.
See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction β†’

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$8.27
Based on 7.0% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$5.14
Trading above historical range

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 7.9x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: TZOO is currently trading at $7.23, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $9.06 to $11.83. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 9.7) compared to its historical average (7.9). At these levels, the market is pricing in 6.8% annual earnings growth.

Technical Outlook: Technically, TZOO is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $6.68, while resistance sits at $11.06.

Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $19.62 (+171.4%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range $9.06 - $11.83
Company Quality Score 57/100 (HOLD)
Options IV Signal 58th percentile (NORMAL)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 80.4%

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All Signals

  • BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
  • NEUTRAL: Options fairly priced (IV 58th percentile)
  • NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BULLISH: Trading 171.4% below Wall St target ($19.62)
  • BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 6.8% growth with -2.9% revenue growth
  • WARNING: Recommendation downgraded due to -27.9% 5-day decline - wait for stabilization

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $9.06 - $11.83
Current vs Trading Range OVERSOLD
Expected Move (7 Days) Β±$1.18 (16.3%)

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $6.68
Resistance Level $11.07
Current Trend Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of Jul 31, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 9.67
Wall Street Target $19.63 (+171.4%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) -2.9%
Earnings Growth (YoY) -12.1%
Profit Margin 0.5%
Valuation Premium vs History +6.8% premium
PE vs Historical 9.7 vs 7.9 STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): +6.8% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $7.72 (+7%)
2-Year Target $8.25 (+14%)
3-Year Target $8.81 (+22%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 10β†’8) PE COMPRESSION $7.19 (-1%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
πŸ“ˆ Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (12x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (10x PE) as earnings recover.
Forward PE: 12.12 | Forward EPS (Implied): $0.60
Bull Case $8.73 (+21%)
Analyst growth 15.0%, PE expands to 12.7
Base Case $7.23 (0%)
Market implied 0.0%, PE stable at 12.1
Bear Case $5.53 (-24%)
Severe decline -15.0%, PE contracts to 10.9
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
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Last updated: August 02, 2026 7:50 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:50 PM
πŸ”₯ Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Insider Activity (6 Months)
3
Buys
0
Sells
+
Net
INSIDERS BUYING
Recent Transactions
Holger Bartel BUY 40000 shares 2026-02-24
Holger Bartel BUY 100000 shares 2026-02-23
Holger Bartel BUY 60000 shares 2026-02-20

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Advanced TZOO Option Strategies

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