TZOO Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

TZOO - Travelzoo Common Stock

SERVICES-ADVERTISING
$11.09
0.17 (1.56%) ▲
5d: -5.7%
30d: +10.46%
90d: +79.16%
HOLD
LOW Confidence
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Analysis Updated: Jul 13, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 22, 2026 8d

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡
Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: TZOO trades at premium valuation expecting 12.9% growth. Hold existing positions but don't chase. Wait for better entry.
See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$14.69
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$9.12
Trading above historical range

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 7.7x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: TZOO is currently trading at $11.09, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $10.29 to $11.49. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 11.1) compared to its historical average (7.7). At these levels, the market is pricing in 12.9% annual earnings growth.

Technical Outlook: Technically, TZOO is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $10.96. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.

Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $21.25 (+94.6%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position FAIR
Historical Trading Range $10.29 - $11.49
Company Quality Score 55/100 (HOLD)
Options IV Signal 52th percentile (NORMAL)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 74.6%

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All Signals

  • NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
  • NEUTRAL: Options fairly priced (IV 52th percentile)
  • NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BULLISH: Trading 94.6% below Wall St target ($21.25)
  • BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 12.9% growth with 4.9% revenue growth
  • CAUTION: Recommendation downgraded due to -5.7% 5-day decline

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $10.29 - $11.49
Current vs Trading Range FAIR
Expected Move (7 Days) ±$2.43 (21.9%)

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $9.62
Resistance Level $10.96
Current Trend Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of Jun 9, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 11.14
Wall Street Target $21.25 (+94.6%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 4.9%
Earnings Growth (YoY) -12.1%
Profit Margin 4.3%
Valuation Premium vs History +12.9% premium
PE vs Historical 11.1 vs 7.7 STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): +12.9% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $12.33 (+13%)
2-Year Target $13.92 (+28%)
3-Year Target $15.71 (+44%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 11→8) PE COMPRESSION $10.86 (-1%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 21.8, Growth: 62.0%) $72.04 (+560%)
Base: (SPY PE: 11.1, Growth: 62.0%) $36.85 (+238%)
Bear: (PE: 7.7, Growth: 62.0%) $25.47 (+133%)
📈 Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (29x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (11x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 29.11 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.38
Bull Case $24.33 (+123%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 32.0
Base Case $22.12 (+103%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 29.1
Bear Case $7.52 (-31%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 24.7
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
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Last updated: July 13, 2026 4:21 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:21 PM
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Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Insider Activity (6 Months)
3
Buys
0
Sells
+
Net
INSIDERS BUYING
Recent Transactions
Holger Bartel BUY 40000 shares 2026-02-24
Holger Bartel BUY 100000 shares 2026-02-23
Holger Bartel BUY 60000 shares 2026-02-20

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Advanced TZOO Option Strategies

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