UPLD Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

UPLD - Upland Software, Inc.

SERVICES-PREPACKAGED SOFTWARE
$4.63
0.13 (2.89%) ▲
5d: -1.07%
30d: +2.43%
90d: +420.34%
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LOW Confidence
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Analysis Updated: Aug 27, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 20, 2026 0d

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡
Bottom Line:
â„šī¸ NEUTRAL: UPLD is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At -13.8% expected growth, valuation appears cheap. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$6.78
Based on -0.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$4.21
Trading above historical range

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 1.1x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: UPLD is currently trading at $4.63, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $4.30 to $5.09. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 0.7) compared to its historical average (1.1). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 13.8% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.

Technical Outlook: Technically, UPLD is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $4.29, while resistance sits at $6.13.

Market Sentiment: UPLD scores 30/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $12.50 (+170.0%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position FAIR
Historical Trading Range $4.30 - $5.09
Company Quality Score 47/100 (HOLD)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 50.0%

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All Signals

  • NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
  • BEARISH: Weak technical setup (30/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BULLISH: Trading 170.0% below Wall St target ($12.50)
  • WARNING: Composite score 47/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $4.30 - $5.09
Current vs Trading Range FAIR

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $4.30
Resistance Level $6.13
Current Trend Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of Aug 27, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 0.73
Wall Street Target $12.50 (+170.0%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) -7.9%
Profit Margin -18.5%
Valuation Discount vs History -13.8% cheaper
PE vs Historical 0.7 vs 1.1 CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): -13.8% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $4.17 (-10%)
2-Year Target $3.75 (-19%)
3-Year Target $3.38 (-27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 1→1) $5.08 (+10%)
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 20.1, Growth: -5.0%) $108.93 (+2253%)
Base: (SPY PE: 0.7, Growth: -5.0%) $3.97 (-14%)
Bear: (PE: 0.6, Growth: -5.0%) $3.37 (-27%)
💡 Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 0.7 to 1.1
Stabilization Target: $6.97 (+50.5%)
PE Expansion Potential: +50.5%
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Last updated: August 27, 2026 9:55 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:55 PM
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Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
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Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL

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