UPLD Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

UPLD - Upland Software, Inc.

SERVICES-PREPACKAGED SOFTWARE
$0.83
-0.11 (-11.80%) ▼
5d: +4.06%
30d: +15.35%
90d: +7.86%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jun 3, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 30, 2026

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡
Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: UPLD trading at deep discount. Market pricing in -7.0% annual earnings decline, creating value opportunity for patient investors.
See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$1.45
Based on 7.3% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$0.90
7.7% Margin of Safety

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 1.3x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: UPLD is currently trading at $0.83, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $0.67 to $0.91. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 1.1) compared to its historical average (1.3). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 7.0% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.

Technical Outlook: Technically, UPLD is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $0.70, while resistance sits at $1.02. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 11.8% recently.

Market Sentiment: UPLD has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $3.75 (+351.5%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position FAIR
Historical Trading Range $0.67 - $0.91
Company Quality Score 56/100 (HOLD)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 78.6%

All Signals

  • NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
  • BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BEARISH: Downward momentum (-11.8%)
  • BULLISH: Trading 351.5% below Wall St target ($3.75)

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $0.67 - $0.91
Current vs Trading Range FAIR

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $0.70
Resistance Level $1.03
Current Trend Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of Jun 3, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 1.06
Wall Street Target $3.75 (+351.5%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) -23.5%
Profit Margin -7.1%
Valuation Discount vs History -7.0% cheaper
PE vs Historical 1.1 vs 1.3 CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): -7.0% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $0.77 (-7%)
2-Year Target $0.72 (-14%)
3-Year Target $0.67 (-20%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 1→1) $0.82 (-1%)
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 21.9, Growth: 10.6%) $23.25 (+2699%)
Base: (SPY PE: 1.1, Growth: 10.6%) $1.12 (+35%)
Bear: (PE: 0.9, Growth: 10.6%) $0.95 (+15%)
💡 Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 1.1 to 1.3
Stabilization Target: $1.02 (+22.9%)
PE Expansion Potential: +22.9%
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Last updated: June 03, 2026 6:58 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:58 PM
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Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL

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Advanced UPLD Option Strategies

Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's UPLD price and gamma walls.

Iron Condor Bull Call Bear Put Collar

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