UTL Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
UTL - Unitil Corporation
$51.82
0.80 (1.57%)
▲
5d:
+0.58%
30d:
+0.48%
90d:
+0.43%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jun 22, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 03, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: UTL shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: UTL shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$67.64
Based on 5.0% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$42.00
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 15.1x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: UTL is currently trading at $51.82, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $50.06 to $51.81. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 14.5) is in line with its historical norms (15.1). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 1.3% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 9.3% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, UTL is showing sideways momentum. The price is approaching resistance at $52.54. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: UTL has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, UTL is showing sideways momentum. The price is approaching resistance at $52.54. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: UTL has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$50.06 -
$51.81
Company Quality Score
59/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
57.1%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($55.67)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$50.06 -
$51.81
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$48.39
Resistance Level
$52.54
Current Trend
Sideways
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
14.54
Wall Street Target
$55.67
(+9.1%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
27.0%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
9.3%
Profit Margin
9.6%
Valuation Discount vs History
-1.3% cheaper
PE vs Historical
14.5 vs 15.1
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-1.3%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$50.36
(-1%)
2-Year Target
$49.70
(-3%)
3-Year Target
$49.06
(-4%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 15→15)
$50.96
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 6.0%)
$91.16
(+79%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 14.5, Growth: 6.0%)
$60.84
(+19%)
Bear:
(PE: 12.4, Growth: 6.0%)
$51.71
(+1%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (16x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (15x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 16.28 | Current EPS (TTM): $3.13
Bull Case
$62.86
(+23%)
Analyst growth 12.1%, PE expands to 17.9
Base Case
$57.15
(+12%)
Market implied 12.1%, PE stable at 16.3
Bear Case
$34.65
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 13.8
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 14.5 to 15.1
Stabilization Target:
$53.00
(+3.9%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+3.9%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: June 23, 2026 11:32 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:32 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:32 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is UTL showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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