Unitil (UTL) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
UTL - Unitil Corporation
$50.60
-0.16 (-0.32%)
▼
5d:
-0.47%
30d:
-5.61%
90d:
-5.39%
HOLD
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 1, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Nov 02, 2026
30d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: UTL shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: UTL shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$67.64
Based on 5.0% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$42.00
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 15.1x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: UTL is currently trading at $50.60, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $51.33 to $53.74. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 14.4) is in line with its historical norms (15.1). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 1.6% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 5.3% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, UTL is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $48.39, while resistance sits at $52.83.
Market Sentiment: UTL scores 65/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, UTL is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $48.39, while resistance sits at $52.83.
Market Sentiment: UTL scores 65/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$51.33 -
$53.74
Company Quality Score
61/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
85.7%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (65/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($54.00)
- CAUTION: Bottoming setup, but lagging the sector by 18% over 20 days — wait for relative strength
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$51.33 -
$53.74
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$48.39
Resistance Level
$52.83
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Oct 1, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
14.42
Wall Street Target
$54.00
(+6.7%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
14.0%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
5.3%
Profit Margin
9.5%
Valuation Discount vs History
-1.6% cheaper
PE vs Historical
14.4 vs 15.1
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-1.6%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$49.79
(-2%)
2-Year Target
$48.99
(-3%)
3-Year Target
$48.21
(-5%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 14→15)
$50.50
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.4, Growth: 6.0%)
$85.38
(+69%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 14.4, Growth: 6.0%)
$60.34
(+19%)
Bear:
(PE: 12.3, Growth: 6.0%)
$51.29
(+1%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (16x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (14x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 16.06 | Current EPS (TTM): $3.16
Bull Case
$62.02
(+23%)
Analyst growth 11.1%, PE expands to 17.7
Base Case
$56.38
(+11%)
Market implied 11.1%, PE stable at 16.1
Bear Case
$34.52
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 13.7
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 14.4 to 15.1
Stabilization Target:
$53.00
(+4.7%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+4.7%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 02, 2026 2:18 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:18 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:18 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is UTL showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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