UTL Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
UTL - Unitil Corporation
$53.94
-0.56 (-1.03%)
▼
5d:
-2.95%
30d:
+2.84%
90d:
+2.82%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 31, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 03, 2026
TODAY
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: UTL shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 0.5% annual growth which appears achievable. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: UTL shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 0.5% annual growth which appears achievable. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$68.08
Based on 5.0% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$42.28
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 15.2x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: UTL is currently trading at $53.94, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $52.74 to $54.92. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 15.4) is in line with its historical norms (15.2). At these levels, the market is pricing in 0.5% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, UTL is showing sideways momentum. The price is currently testing key support at $53.53. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, UTL is showing sideways momentum. The price is currently testing key support at $53.53. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$52.74 -
$54.92
Company Quality Score
51/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
68.6%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($55.33)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 0.5% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$52.74 -
$54.92
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$53.54
Resistance Level
$57.26
Current Trend
Sideways
Technical data as of
Jul 31, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
15.37
Wall Street Target
$55.33
(+2.6%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
27.0%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
9.3%
Profit Margin
9.6%
Valuation Premium vs History
+0.5% premium
PE vs Historical
15.4 vs 15.2
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+0.5%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$54.21
(+1%)
2-Year Target
$54.48
(+1%)
3-Year Target
$54.75
(+2%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 15→15)
PE COMPRESSION
$54.16
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.7, Growth: 6.0%)
$86.76
(+61%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 15.4, Growth: 6.0%)
$64.32
(+19%)
Bear:
(PE: 13.1, Growth: 6.0%)
$54.67
(+1%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (18x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (15x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 17.58 | Current EPS (TTM): $3.10
Bull Case
$67.88
(+26%)
Analyst growth 13.2%, PE expands to 19.3
Base Case
$61.71
(+14%)
Market implied 13.2%, PE stable at 17.6
Bear Case
$37.06
(-31%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 14.9
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 02, 2026 6:31 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:31 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:31 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is UTL showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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