Unitil (UTL) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
UTL - Unitil Corporation
$53.58
-0.12 (-0.22%)
▼
5d:
+0.71%
30d:
+3.76%
90d:
-3.08%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 21, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Nov 02, 2026
10d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: UTL shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: UTL shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$67.64
Based on 5.0% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$42.00
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 15.1x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: UTL is currently trading at $53.58, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $50.98 to $53.15. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 15.3) is in line with its historical norms (15.1). At these levels, the market is pricing in 0.3% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, UTL is showing sideways momentum. The price is approaching resistance at $54.35. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: UTL scores 27/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, UTL is showing sideways momentum. The price is approaching resistance at $54.35. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: UTL scores 27/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$50.98 -
$53.15
Company Quality Score
46/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
24.8%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (27/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($54.00)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 0.3% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
- WARNING: Composite score 46/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$50.98 -
$53.15
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$51.32
Resistance Level
$54.35
Current Trend
Sideways
Technical data as of
Oct 21, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
15.26
Wall Street Target
$54.00
(+0.8%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
14.0%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
5.3%
Profit Margin
9.5%
Valuation Premium vs History
+0.3% premium
PE vs Historical
15.3 vs 15.1
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+0.3%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$53.74
(+0%)
2-Year Target
$53.90
(+1%)
3-Year Target
$54.06
(+1%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 15→15)
PE COMPRESSION
$53.48
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 19.9, Growth: 6.0%)
$83.12
(+55%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 15.3, Growth: 6.0%)
$63.89
(+19%)
Bear:
(PE: 13.0, Growth: 6.0%)
$54.31
(+1%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (17x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (15x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 16.94 | Current EPS (TTM): $3.17
Bull Case
$65.41
(+22%)
Analyst growth 10.7%, PE expands to 18.6
Base Case
$59.46
(+11%)
Market implied 10.7%, PE stable at 16.9
Bear Case
$36.52
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 14.4
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 22, 2026 3:23 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:23 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:23 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is UTL showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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