Unitil (UTL) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
$55.93
-0.20 (-0.36%)
▼
5d:
+1.99%
30d:
+5.49%
90d:
+3.63%
QUANTITATIVE VERDICT
WAIT
LOW Confidence (25%)
Quality Score
43/100
Position
EXTENDED
30-Day Fair Range
$52.56 – $55.89
Position: EXTENDED
Forward P/E & Valuation
15.9x
FAIR
vs 15.2x historical avg
Wall Street Target
$54.33
-2.9% vs target
Options IV & Volume
HIGH Vol
HIGH volume confirmation
Support / Resistance
$54.03 / $58.33
Trend: Sideways
Executive Thesis & Bottom Line
Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: UTL shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$68.08
Based on 5.0% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$42.28
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 15.2x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: UTL is currently trading at $55.93, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $52.56 to $55.89. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 15.9) is in line with its historical norms (15.2). At these levels, the market is pricing in 1.6% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, UTL is showing sideways momentum. Immediate support is located at $54.03, while resistance sits at $58.33.
Market Sentiment: UTL scores 25/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, UTL is showing sideways momentum. Immediate support is located at $54.03, while resistance sits at $58.33.
Market Sentiment: UTL scores 25/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$52.56 -
$55.89
Company Quality Score
43/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
24.8%
Trading Range & Key Levels
30-Day Trading Range
$52.56 -
$55.89
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support Level
$54.03
Resistance Level
$58.33
Current Trend
Sideways
Technical data as of
Nov 10, 2026
Quantitative Signal Breakdown
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (25/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($54.33)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 1.6% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
- WARNING: Composite score 43/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
15.93
Wall Street Target
$54.33
(-2.9%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
11.4%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
5.3%
Profit Margin
9.1%
Valuation Premium vs History
+1.6% premium
PE vs Historical
15.9 vs 15.2
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+1.6%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$56.82
(+2%)
2-Year Target
$57.73
(+3%)
3-Year Target
$58.66
(+5%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 16→15)
PE COMPRESSION
$55.95
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 19.9, Growth: 6.0%)
$83.12
(+49%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 15.9, Growth: 6.0%)
$66.69
(+19%)
Bear:
(PE: 13.5, Growth: 6.0%)
$56.69
(+1%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (18x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (16x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 18.11 | Current EPS (TTM): $3.10
Bull Case
$69.91
(+25%)
Analyst growth 13.2%, PE expands to 19.9
Base Case
$63.55
(+14%)
Market implied 13.2%, PE stable at 18.1
Bear Case
$38.17
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 15.4
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
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bloggers & journalists: you are free to use our charts with attribution.Reddit & Retail Trader Sentiment (UTL)
Bullish
3 Retail Mentions
Reddit / WSB Comments
1
Bearish
StockTwits Volume
2 msgs
24h retail stream
Last Tracked
Nov 2, 2026
Daily AI digest
AI Retail Discussion Summary:
Investors are bullish on $UTL ahead of earnings release, with positive sentiment towards the company's strong earnings history and favorable stock rankings.
Key Retail Themes:
positive earnings history
favorable stock rankings
Aggregated from r/wallstreetbets, r/stocks & StockTwits streams.
View All Trending Reddit & WSB Stocks →
Last updated: November 11, 2026 5:06 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:06 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:06 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is UTL showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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