UVV Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
UVV - Universal Corporation
$52.88
0.21 (0.40%)
▲
5d:
-1.4%
30d:
-3.01%
90d:
+2.92%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jun 23, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 05, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: UVV shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 0.3% growth. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: UVV shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 0.3% growth. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$66.03
Based on 4.8% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$41.00
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 11.9x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: UVV is currently trading at $52.88, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $52.41 to $54.52. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 12.0) is in line with its historical norms (11.9). At these levels, the market is pricing in 0.3% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, UVV is in a downtrend. Immediate support is located at $49.19, while resistance sits at $55.36.
Market Sentiment: UVV has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $74.00 (+40.5%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, UVV is in a downtrend. Immediate support is located at $49.19, while resistance sits at $55.36.
Market Sentiment: UVV has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $74.00 (+40.5%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
Historical Trading Range
$52.41 -
$54.52
Company Quality Score
55/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
60.5%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (25/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 40.5% below Wall St target ($74.00)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 0.3% growth with 1.8% revenue growth
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$52.41 -
$54.52
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY LOW
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$49.19
Resistance Level
$55.36
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
11.97
Wall Street Target
$74.00
(+40.5%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
1.8%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-44.3%
Profit Margin
1.1%
Valuation Premium vs History
+0.3% premium
PE vs Historical
12.0 vs 11.9
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+0.3%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$52.83
(+0%)
2-Year Target
$52.99
(+1%)
3-Year Target
$53.15
(+1%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 12→12)
PE COMPRESSION
$52.83
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 5.5%)
$112.58
(+114%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 12.0, Growth: 5.5%)
$61.87
(+18%)
Bear:
(PE: 10.2, Growth: 5.5%)
$52.59
(0%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (40x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (12x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 39.62 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.30
Bull Case
$113.32
(+115%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 43.6
Base Case
$103.02
(+96%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 39.6
Bear Case
$35.03
(-34%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 33.7
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: June 24, 2026 10:46 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:46 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:46 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is UVV showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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