VERX Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
VERX - Vertex, Inc. Class A Common Stock
$13.47
-0.11 (-0.81%)
▼
5d:
+5.9%
30d:
+23.69%
90d:
+2.28%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Aug 21, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 03, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: VERX shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: VERX shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$33.03
Based on 14.2% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$20.51
34.3% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 16.8x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: VERX is currently trading at $13.47, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $11.86 to $13.17. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 13.2) compared to its historical average (16.8). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 7.7% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, VERX is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $13.68. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: VERX scores 33/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $17.15 (+27.3%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, VERX is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $13.68. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: VERX scores 33/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $17.15 (+27.3%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$11.86 -
$13.17
Company Quality Score
39/100
(SELL)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
28.6%
Protect Your Profits
Holding VERX? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (33/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 27.3% below Wall St target ($17.15)
- WARNING: Composite score 39/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$11.86 -
$13.17
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$11.62
Resistance Level
$13.68
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Aug 21, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
13.17
Wall Street Target
$17.15
(+27.3%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
10.5%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-44.0%
Profit Margin
0.4%
Valuation Discount vs History
-7.7% cheaper
PE vs Historical
13.2 vs 16.8
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-7.7%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$12.43
(-8%)
2-Year Target
$11.48
(-15%)
3-Year Target
$10.59
(-21%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 13→17)
$13.51
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.1, Growth: 24.4%)
$39.50
(+193%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 13.2, Growth: 24.4%)
$25.93
(+93%)
Bear:
(PE: 11.2, Growth: 24.4%)
$22.04
(+64%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (16x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (13x PE) as earnings recover.
Forward PE: 15.72 | Forward EPS (Implied): $0.86
Bull Case
$16.27
(+21%)
Analyst growth 15.0%, PE expands to 16.5
Base Case
$13.47
(0%)
Market implied 0.0%, PE stable at 15.7
Bear Case
$10.30
(-24%)
Severe decline -15.0%, PE contracts to 14.2
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 13.2 to 16.8
Stabilization Target:
$17.18
(+27.5%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+27.5%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 22, 2026 8:31 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:31 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:31 PM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
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Technical Signals Check
Is VERX showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
1
Buys
0
Sells
+
Net
NEUTRAL
Recent Transactions
Ro Khanna
BUY
2026-03-23
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