VSEC Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
VSEC - VSE Corp
$194.39
2.84 (1.48%)
▲
5d:
-0.53%
30d:
-15.02%
90d:
+13.23%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 31, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 05, 2026
1d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: VSEC shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite oversold pricing.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: VSEC shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite oversold pricing.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$276.61
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$171.75
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: VSEC is currently trading at $194.39, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $194.50 to $222.58. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 34.2) is in line with its historical norms (37.9). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 3.3% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, VSEC is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $183.20, while resistance sits at $205.55.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $257.56 (+32.5%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, VSEC is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $183.20, while resistance sits at $205.55.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $257.56 (+32.5%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$194.50 -
$222.58
Company Quality Score
48/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
79.5%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 32.5% below Wall St target ($257.56)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$194.50 -
$222.58
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$183.20
Resistance Level
$205.55
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jul 31, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
34.21
Wall Street Target
$257.56
(+32.5%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
26.8%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-7.0%
Profit Margin
4.2%
Valuation Discount vs History
-3.3% cheaper
PE vs Historical
34.2 vs 37.9
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-3.3%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$187.98
(-3%)
2-Year Target
$181.77
(-7%)
3-Year Target
$175.77
(-10%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 34→38)
$194.71
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 34.2, Growth: 30.0%)
$426.94
(+120%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 20.7, Growth: 30.0%)
$258.68
(+33%)
Bear:
(PE: 17.6, Growth: 30.0%)
$219.88
(+13%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (47x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (34x PE) as earnings recover.
Forward PE: 46.51 | Forward EPS (Implied): $4.18
Bull Case
$234.73
(+21%)
Analyst growth 15.0%, PE expands to 48.8
Base Case
$194.39
(0%)
Market implied 0.0%, PE stable at 46.5
Bear Case
$148.71
(-24%)
Severe decline -15.0%, PE contracts to 41.9
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 34.2 to 37.9
Stabilization Target:
$215.34
(+10.8%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+10.8%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 03, 2026 1:52 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:52 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:52 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is VSEC showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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