VSEC Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
VSEC - VSE Corp
$213.68
-1.87 (-0.87%)
▼
5d:
+7.62%
30d:
+22.97%
90d:
+21.44%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jun 23, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 29, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: VSEC shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: VSEC shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$279.19
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$173.35
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: VSEC is currently trading at $213.68, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $168.34 to $200.13. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 37.3) is in line with its historical norms (38.1). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 0.7% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, VSEC is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $187.72. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: VSEC has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $252.88 (+18.3%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, VSEC is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $187.72. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: VSEC has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $252.88 (+18.3%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$168.34 -
$200.13
Company Quality Score
59/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
54.8%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range (+6.8% above its trading range)
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($252.88)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$168.34 -
$200.13
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$167.95
Resistance Level
$187.72
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
37.26
Wall Street Target
$252.88
(+18.3%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
26.8%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-7.0%
Profit Margin
4.2%
Valuation Discount vs History
-0.7% cheaper
PE vs Historical
37.3 vs 38.1
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-0.7%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$212.18
(-1%)
2-Year Target
$210.70
(-1%)
3-Year Target
$209.22
(-2%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 37→38)
$213.94
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 37.3, Growth: 31.4%)
$484.69
(+127%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 21.8, Growth: 31.4%)
$283.31
(+33%)
Bear:
(PE: 18.5, Growth: 31.4%)
$240.82
(+13%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (55x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (37x PE) as earnings recover.
Forward PE: 55.25 | Forward EPS (Implied): $3.87
Bull Case
$258.02
(+21%)
Analyst growth 15.0%, PE expands to 58.0
Base Case
$213.68
(0%)
Market implied 0.0%, PE stable at 55.3
Bear Case
$163.47
(-24%)
Severe decline -15.0%, PE contracts to 49.7
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 37.3 to 38.1
Stabilization Target:
$218.49
(+2.3%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+2.3%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: June 23, 2026 6:03 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:03 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:03 PM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
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Technical Signals Check
Is VSEC showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
2
Buys
0
Sells
+
Net
NEUTRAL
Recent Transactions
Markwayne Mullin
BUY
2026-02-04
Markwayne Mullin
BUY
2026-01-05
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