VSE (VSEC) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
VSEC - VSE Corp
$194.98
2.34 (1.21%)
▲
5d:
-3.75%
30d:
-19.63%
90d:
+0.94%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Sep 11, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Oct 26, 2026
Get Alerted When VSEC Hits Your Target Price
Join 10,000+ traders who never miss a move
You're in! Check your email to confirm and set your target price.
100% Free
No spam, ever
Unsubscribe anytime
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
Loading chart...
Loading historical data...
Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: VSEC shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: VSEC shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$333.61
Based on 10.9% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$207.15
5.9% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: VSEC is currently trading at $194.98, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $202.59 to $232.56. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 24.3) compared to its historical average (36.7). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 12.8% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 488.4% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, VSEC is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $189.37. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 50/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $270.00 (+38.5%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, VSEC is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $189.37. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 50/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $270.00 (+38.5%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$202.59 -
$232.56
Company Quality Score
57/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
79.5%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (50/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 38.5% below Wall St target ($270.00)
- NEUTRAL: Bottoming setup forming (50/100) — watch for confirmation
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$202.59 -
$232.56
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$189.37
Resistance Level
$221.77
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Sep 11, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
24.34
Wall Street Target
$270.00
(+38.5%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
65.0%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
488.4%
Profit Margin
5.5%
Valuation Discount vs History
-12.8% cheaper
PE vs Historical
24.3 vs 36.7
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-12.8%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$175.48
(-10%)
2-Year Target
$157.93
(-19%)
3-Year Target
$142.14
(-27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 24→37)
$214.34
(+10%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 24.3, Growth: 17.7%)
$317.77
(+63%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 20.2, Growth: 17.7%)
$263.35
(+35%)
Bear:
(PE: 17.1, Growth: 17.7%)
$223.85
(+15%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (25x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (24x PE) as earnings recover.
Forward PE: 24.94 | Forward EPS (Implied): $7.82
Bull Case
$235.44
(+21%)
Analyst growth 15.0%, PE expands to 26.2
Base Case
$194.98
(0%)
Market implied 0.0%, PE stable at 24.9
Bear Case
$149.16
(-24%)
Severe decline -15.0%, PE contracts to 22.4
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 24.3 to 36.7
Stabilization Target:
$294.01
(+50.8%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+50.8%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: September 12, 2026 11:29 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:29 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:29 PM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
|---|
Technical Signals Check
Is VSEC showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
Top Rated Aerospace & Defense Stocks
Top-rated stocks in Aerospace & Defense by analyst ratings.
| Stock | Analyst Consensus | Analyst Target | Tradestie Score |
|---|---|---|---|
|
BA
The Boeing Company |
STRONG BUY
27 analysts |
$275 | 61 BUY |
|
HWM
Howmet Aerospace Inc |
STRONG BUY
25 analysts |
$337 | 47 HOLD |
|
RTX
RTX Corporation |
BUY
24 analysts |
$235 | 60 BUY |
|
TDG
Transdigm Group Incorpor… |
STRONG BUY
23 analysts |
$1523 | 49 HOLD |
|
AVAV
AeroVironment Inc |
STRONG BUY
19 analysts |
$226 | 61 BUY |
