WCN Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
WCN - Waste Connections, Inc.
$171.17
0.10 (0.06%)
▲
5d:
+2.12%
30d:
+7.63%
90d:
+5.93%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 13, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 22, 2026
8d
Get Alerted When WCN Hits Your Target Price
Join 10,000+ traders who never miss a move
You're in! Check your email to confirm and set your target price.
100% Free
No spam, ever
Unsubscribe anytime
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
Loading chart...
Loading historical data...
Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: WCN shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 0.2% growth. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: WCN shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 0.2% growth. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$229.14
Based on 8.2% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$142.28
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: WCN is currently trading at $171.17, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $153.00 to $167.35. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 27.6) is in line with its historical norms (27.5). At these levels, the market is pricing in 0.2% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, WCN is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $158.63. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: WCN has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $204.00 (+19.2%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, WCN is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $158.63. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: WCN has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $204.00 (+19.2%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$153.00 -
$167.35
Company Quality Score
60/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
62.9%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($204.00)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 0.2% growth with 6.4% revenue growth
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$153.00 -
$167.35
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$146.89
Resistance Level
$158.63
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
27.64
Wall Street Target
$204.00
(+19.2%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
6.4%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-7.6%
Profit Margin
11.0%
Valuation Premium vs History
+0.2% premium
PE vs Historical
27.6 vs 27.5
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+0.2%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$171.51
(+0%)
2-Year Target
$171.86
(+0%)
3-Year Target
$172.20
(+1%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 28→28)
PE COMPRESSION
$171.31
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 27.6, Growth: 12.4%)
$243.33
(+42%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 21.8, Growth: 12.4%)
$191.72
(+12%)
Bear:
(PE: 18.5, Growth: 12.4%)
$162.96
(-5%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (42x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (28x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 41.62 | Current EPS (TTM): $4.11
Bull Case
$283.51
(+66%)
Analyst growth 50.7%, PE expands to 45.8
Base Case
$257.74
(+51%)
Market implied 50.7%, PE stable at 41.6
Bear Case
$116.33
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 35.4
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 13, 2026 6:13 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:13 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:13 PM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
|---|
Technical Signals Check
Is WCN showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
Top Rated Waste Management Stocks
Top-rated stocks in Waste Management by analyst ratings.
| Stock | Analyst Consensus | Analyst Target | Tradestie Score |
|---|---|---|---|
|
RSG
Republic Services Inc |
BUY
24 analysts |
$244 | 61 BUY |
|
WM
Waste Management Inc |
BUY
25 analysts |
$256 | 62 BUY |
|
GFL
Gfl Environmental Holdin… |
STRONG BUY
19 analysts |
$49 | 61 BUY |
|
CLH
Clean Harbors Inc |
STRONG BUY
13 analysts |
$326 | 62 BUY |
|
CWST
Casella Waste Systems Inc |
STRONG BUY
11 analysts |
$111 | 61 BUY |
