WCN Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
WCN - Waste Connections, Inc.
$167.38
1.11 (0.67%)
▲
5d:
-1.31%
30d:
+1.62%
90d:
+1.61%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 31, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Oct 20, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: WCN shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 0.6% decline. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: WCN shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 0.6% decline. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$217.79
Based on 7.0% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$135.23
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: WCN is currently trading at $167.38, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $164.30 to $172.32. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 27.0) is in line with its historical norms (27.5). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 0.6% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 4.4% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, WCN is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $164.67. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $200.76 (+19.9%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, WCN is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $164.67. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $200.76 (+19.9%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$164.30 -
$172.32
Company Quality Score
50/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
70.0%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($200.76)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$164.30 -
$172.32
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$164.67
Resistance Level
$174.54
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jul 31, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
26.98
Wall Street Target
$200.76
(+19.9%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
6.4%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
4.4%
Profit Margin
10.9%
Valuation Discount vs History
-0.6% cheaper
PE vs Historical
27.0 vs 27.5
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-0.6%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$166.38
(-1%)
2-Year Target
$165.38
(-1%)
3-Year Target
$164.39
(-2%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 27→28)
$167.53
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 27.0, Growth: 10.1%)
$223.61
(+34%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 20.7, Growth: 10.1%)
$171.79
(+3%)
Bear:
(PE: 17.6, Growth: 10.1%)
$146.02
(-13%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (42x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (27x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 41.67 | Current EPS (TTM): $3.99
Bull Case
$284.34
(+70%)
Analyst growth 55.5%, PE expands to 45.8
Base Case
$258.49
(+54%)
Market implied 55.5%, PE stable at 41.7
Bear Case
$113.06
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 35.4
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 27.0 to 27.5
Stabilization Target:
$170.58
(+1.9%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+1.9%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 02, 2026 7:50 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:50 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:50 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is WCN showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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