WCN Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
WCN - Waste Connections, Inc.
$153.43
-0.54 (-0.35%)
▼
5d:
-1.72%
30d:
-2.26%
90d:
-5.63%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jun 22, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 22, 2026
28d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: WCN shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 3.4% decline. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: WCN shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 3.4% decline. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$228.94
Based on 8.2% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$142.16
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: WCN is currently trading at $153.43, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $151.69 to $157.29. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 24.8) is in line with its historical norms (27.5). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 3.4% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, WCN is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $146.89, while resistance sits at $158.63.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (45/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $203.92 (+32.9%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, WCN is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $146.89, while resistance sits at $158.63.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (45/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $203.92 (+32.9%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$151.69 -
$157.29
Company Quality Score
55/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
72.4%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (45/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 32.9% below Wall St target ($203.92)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$151.69 -
$157.29
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$146.89
Resistance Level
$158.63
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
24.80
Wall Street Target
$203.92
(+32.9%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
6.4%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-7.6%
Profit Margin
11.0%
Valuation Discount vs History
-3.4% cheaper
PE vs Historical
24.8 vs 27.5
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-3.4%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$148.21
(-3%)
2-Year Target
$143.17
(-7%)
3-Year Target
$138.31
(-10%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 25→28)
$153.37
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 24.8, Growth: 12.4%)
$217.61
(+42%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 21.8, Growth: 12.4%)
$191.12
(+25%)
Bear:
(PE: 18.5, Growth: 12.4%)
$162.45
(+6%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (38x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (25x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 37.55 | Current EPS (TTM): $4.10
Bull Case
$255.58
(+67%)
Analyst growth 50.9%, PE expands to 41.3
Base Case
$232.34
(+51%)
Market implied 50.9%, PE stable at 37.6
Bear Case
$104.70
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 31.9
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 24.8 to 27.5
Stabilization Target:
$170.14
(+10.9%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+10.9%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: June 23, 2026 9:43 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:43 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:43 AM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
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Technical Signals Check
Is WCN showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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