WDAY Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

WDAY - Workday, Inc. Class A Common Stock

SERVICES-COMPUTER PROCESSING & DATA PREPARATION
$200.01
2.69 (1.36%) ▲
5d: +0.67%
30d: +56.42%
90d: +64.14%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
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Analysis Updated: Aug 21, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 27, 2026 3d
Smart Money Distribution

Options positioning is turning defensive after a sharp run-up - a pattern consistent with institutional profit-taking. View Scanner →

Signal fired Aug 7, 2026 at $179.64 · last confirmed Aug 21, 2026

Strength: 6.0/10

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡
Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: WDAY shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$269.73
Based on 10.9% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$167.48
Trading above historical range

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 15.1x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: WDAY is currently trading at $200.01, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $143.02 to $188.63. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 18.4) compared to its historical average (15.1). At these levels, the market is pricing in 6.8% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.

Technical Outlook: Technically, WDAY is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $173.16, while resistance sits at $227.49.

Market Sentiment: WDAY scores 0/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. However, the stock is trading significantly above the average Wall Street target of $177.21. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range $143.02 - $188.63
Company Quality Score 25/100 (SELL)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 14.3%

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All Signals

  • BEARISH: Price extended above range (+6.0% above its trading range)
  • BEARISH: Weak technical setup (0/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BEARISH: Trading 10.2% above Wall St target ($177.21)
  • NEUTRAL: PE elevated vs history but 6.8% growth expectation is conservative given 248% recent growth
  • WARNING: Composite score 25/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $143.02 - $188.63
Current vs Trading Range EXTENDED

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $173.17
Resistance Level $227.49
Current Trend Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of Aug 21, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 18.40
Wall Street Target $177.21 (-10.2%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 13.5%
Earnings Growth (YoY) 248.0%
Profit Margin 8.6%
Valuation Premium vs History +6.8% premium
PE vs Historical 18.4 vs 15.1 STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): +6.8% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $210.74 (+7%)
2-Year Target $225.07 (+14%)
3-Year Target $240.37 (+22%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 18→15) PE COMPRESSION $197.26 (0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 20.1, Growth: 17.7%) $351.02 (+78%)
Base: (SPY PE: 18.4, Growth: 17.7%) $321.81 (+63%)
Bear: (PE: 15.1, Growth: 17.7%) $264.10 (+34%)
📈 Valuation based on Current Earnings
Forward PE: 17.95 | Forward EPS (Implied): $11.14
Bull Case $241.51 (+21%)
Analyst growth 15.0%, PE expands to 18.9
Base Case $200.01 (0%)
Market implied 0.0%, PE stable at 18.0
Bear Case $153.01 (-24%)
Severe decline -15.0%, PE contracts to 16.2
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
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Last updated: August 22, 2026 8:25 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:25 PM
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Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Insider Activity (6 Months)
3
Buys
14
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Mark S Garfield SELL 1585 shares 2026-04-10
David A Duffield SELL 107500 shares 2026-04-09
Gerrit S Kazmaier SELL 9356 shares 2026-04-07

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Advanced WDAY Option Strategies

Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's WDAY price and gamma walls.

Iron Condor Bull Call Bear Put Collar

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