WLFC Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
WLFC - Willis Lease Finance Corp
$54.37
0.19 (0.35%)
â˛
5d:
-4.5%
30d:
-19.44%
90d:
-70.18%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Aug 21, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 04, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: WLFC is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At -6.7% expected growth, valuation appears cheap. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: WLFC is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At -6.7% expected growth, valuation appears cheap. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$129.48
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$80.40
32.4% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 11.1x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: WLFC is currently trading at $54.37, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $36.39 to $118.58. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 9.1) compared to its historical average (11.1). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 6.7% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, WLFC is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $53.40. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 55/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $75.33 (+39.0%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, WLFC is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $53.40. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 55/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $75.33 (+39.0%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
Historical Trading Range
$36.39 -
$118.58
Company Quality Score
51/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
79.5%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (55/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 39.0% below Wall St target ($75.33)
- WARNING: Composite score 51/100 in the bottom quintile â this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$36.39 -
$118.58
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY LOW
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$53.40
Resistance Level
$61.02
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Aug 21, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
9.05
Wall Street Target
$75.33
(+39.0%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
0.4%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-53.4%
Profit Margin
12.2%
Valuation Discount vs History
-6.7% cheaper
PE vs Historical
9.1 vs 11.1
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-6.7%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$50.55
(-7%)
2-Year Target
$47.16
(-13%)
3-Year Target
$44.00
(-19%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 9â11)
$54.00
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.1, Growth: 26.7%)
$244.67
(+352%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 9.0, Growth: 26.7%)
$110.27
(+104%)
Bear:
(PE: 7.7, Growth: 26.7%)
$93.73
(+73%)
đ
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (15x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (9x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 14.50 | Current EPS (TTM): $3.80
Bull Case
$95.52
(+76%)
Analyst growth 57.6%, PE expands to 16.0
Base Case
$86.84
(+60%)
Market implied 57.6%, PE stable at 14.5
Bear Case
$37.46
(-31%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 12.3
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
đĄ
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 9.0 to 11.1
Stabilization Target:
$66.49
(+22.7%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+22.7%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 24, 2026 3:38 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:38 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:38 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is WLFC showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
4
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Austin Chandler Willis
SELL
3400 shares
2026-04-01
Charles F Iv Willis
SELL
9727 shares
2026-03-27
Charles F Iv Willis
SELL
4270 shares
2026-03-26
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