WPC Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

WPC - W.P. Carey Inc. (REIT)

REAL ESTATE INVESTMENT TRUSTS
$72.29
0.85 (1.20%) ▲
5d: -4.22%
30d: -3.49%
90d: +6.91%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jun 22, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 04, 2026

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡
Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: WPC shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 5.0% decline. Moderate conviction.
See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$129.83
Based on 9.4% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$80.62
10.3% Margin of Safety

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 24.0x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: WPC is currently trading at $72.28, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $72.92 to $75.55. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 20.6) compared to its historical average (24.0). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 5.0% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 40.2% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.

Technical Outlook: Technically, WPC is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $72.59. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.

Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range $72.92 - $75.55
Company Quality Score 57/100 (HOLD)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 74.8%

All Signals

  • BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
  • NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($78.42)

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $72.92 - $75.55
Current vs Trading Range OVERSOLD

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $72.59
Resistance Level $75.69
Current Trend Uptrend
Technical data as of Jun 9, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 20.63
Wall Street Target $78.42 (+9.8%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 8.9%
Earnings Growth (YoY) 40.2%
Profit Margin 29.7%
Valuation Discount vs History -5.0% cheaper
PE vs Historical 20.6 vs 24.0 CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): -5.0% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $67.86 (-5%)
2-Year Target $64.47 (-10%)
3-Year Target $61.24 (-14%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 21→24) $71.25 (0%)
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 21.8, Growth: 14.8%) $114.05 (+60%)
Base: (SPY PE: 20.6, Growth: 14.8%) $108.02 (+51%)
Bear: (PE: 17.5, Growth: 14.8%) $91.81 (+29%)
📈 Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (30x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (21x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 30.44 | Current EPS (TTM): $2.34
Bull Case $115.93 (+62%)
Analyst growth 48.0%, PE expands to 33.5
Base Case $105.39 (+48%)
Market implied 48.0%, PE stable at 30.4
Bear Case $48.43 (-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 25.9
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡 Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 20.6 to 24.0
Stabilization Target: $83.10 (+16.3%)
PE Expansion Potential: +16.3%
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Last updated: June 23, 2026 10:10 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:10 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Insider Activity (6 Months)
1
Buys
0
Sells
+
Net
NEUTRAL
Recent Transactions
Gary C. Peters BUY 2026-01-12

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