XOM Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
XOM - Exxon Mobil Corporation
$144.51
5.63 (4.05%)
▲
5d:
+5.91%
30d:
-4.06%
90d:
-5.25%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 13, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 07, 2026
23d
Smart Money Distribution
None View Scanner →
Strength: 7.5/10
Get Alerted When XOM Hits Your Target Price
Join 10,000+ traders who never miss a move
You're in! Check your email to confirm and set your target price.
100% Free
No spam, ever
Unsubscribe anytime
5 traders called XOM this week
100% bullish • 0 bearish
100% bullish • 0 bearish
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
Loading chart...
Loading historical data...
Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: XOM trading at deep discount. Market pricing in -5.7% annual earnings decline, creating value opportunity for patient investors.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: XOM trading at deep discount. Market pricing in -5.7% annual earnings decline, creating value opportunity for patient investors.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$168.80
Based on -0.3% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$104.81
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 16.1x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: XOM is currently trading at $144.51, which is considered slightly high relative to its 30-day fair value range of $136.39 to $146.96. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 13.6) compared to its historical average (16.1). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 5.7% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, XOM is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $144.71. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 4.1% recently.
Market Sentiment: XOM has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $167.38 (+15.8%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, XOM is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $144.71. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 4.1% recently.
Market Sentiment: XOM has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $167.38 (+15.8%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Historical Trading Range
$136.39 -
$146.96
Company Quality Score
61/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
78.6%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Strong upward momentum (+4.1%)
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($167.38)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$136.39 -
$146.96
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$144.71
Resistance Level
$154.91
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
13.55
Wall Street Target
$167.38
(+15.8%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
2.6%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-43.4%
Profit Margin
7.8%
Valuation Discount vs History
-5.7% cheaper
PE vs Historical
13.6 vs 16.1
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-5.7%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$136.27
(-6%)
2-Year Target
$128.51
(-11%)
3-Year Target
$121.18
(-16%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 14→16)
$144.02
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: -4.6%)
$201.93
(+40%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 13.5, Growth: -4.6%)
$125.59
(-13%)
Bear:
(PE: 11.5, Growth: -4.6%)
$106.75
(-26%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (23x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (14x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 23.38 | Current EPS (TTM): $5.94
Bull Case
$274.36
(+90%)
Analyst growth 79.6%, PE expands to 25.7
Base Case
$249.42
(+73%)
Market implied 79.6%, PE stable at 23.4
Bear Case
$94.44
(-35%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 19.9
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 13.5 to 16.1
Stabilization Target:
$171.75
(+18.8%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+18.8%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 14, 2026 3:34 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:34 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:34 AM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
|---|
Technical Signals Check
Is XOM showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
3
Buys
4
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Darrin L Talley
SELL
1080 shares
2026-03-16
Darrin L Talley
SELL
2150 shares
2026-03-02
Gilbert Ray Cisneros, Jr.
BUY
2026-02-10
Top Rated Oil & Gas Integrated Stocks
Top-rated stocks in Oil & Gas Integrated by analyst ratings.
| Stock | Analyst Consensus | Analyst Target | Tradestie Score |
|---|---|---|---|
|
CVX
Chevron Corp |
BUY
25 analysts |
$215 | 65 BUY |
|
CVE
Cenovus Energy Inc |
STRONG BUY
17 analysts |
$34 | 59 HOLD |
|
SU
Suncor Energy Inc |
BUY
21 analysts |
$63 | 63 BUY |
|
PBR
Petroleo Brasileiro Petr… |
STRONG BUY
14 analysts |
$23 | 58 HOLD |
|
DEC
Diversified Energy Compa… |
STRONG BUY
9 analysts |
$22 | 60 BUY |
Advanced XOM Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's XOM price and gamma walls.
