Airbnb (ABNB) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
ABNB - Airbnb, Inc. Class A Common Stock
$166.84
0.62 (0.37%)
▲
5d:
-2.23%
30d:
-9.82%
90d:
+19.86%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Sep 21, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Nov 05, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: ABNB is fairly valued with market pricing in 2.2% annual growth. Fine to hold or accumulate slowly on dips.
📊 HOLD: ABNB is fairly valued with market pricing in 2.2% annual growth. Fine to hold or accumulate slowly on dips.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$258.92
Based on 10.8% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$160.77
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: ABNB is currently trading at $166.84, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $170.69 to $187.59. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 26.7) is in line with its historical norms (25.0). At these levels, the market is pricing in 2.2% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ABNB is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $164.70. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 51/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $184.35 (+10.5%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ABNB is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $164.70. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 51/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $184.35 (+10.5%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$170.69 -
$187.59
Company Quality Score
59/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
78.1%
Protect Your Profits
Holding ABNB? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (51/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($184.35)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 2.2% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
- NEUTRAL: Bottoming setup forming (51/100) — watch for confirmation
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$170.69 -
$187.59
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$164.70
Resistance Level
$182.79
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Sep 21, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
26.72
Wall Street Target
$184.35
(+10.5%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
16.5%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
33.4%
Profit Margin
20.4%
Valuation Premium vs History
+2.2% premium
PE vs Historical
26.7 vs 25.0
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+2.2%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$170.51
(+2%)
2-Year Target
$174.26
(+4%)
3-Year Target
$178.10
(+7%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 27→25)
PE COMPRESSION
$166.65
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 26.7, Growth: 17.5%)
$270.87
(+62%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 20.2, Growth: 17.5%)
$205.31
(+23%)
Bear:
(PE: 17.2, Growth: 17.5%)
$174.51
(+5%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (38x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (27x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 38.32 | Current EPS (TTM): $4.33
Bull Case
$263.24
(+58%)
Analyst growth 44.2%, PE expands to 42.2
Base Case
$239.31
(+44%)
Market implied 44.2%, PE stable at 38.3
Bear Case
$112.83
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 32.6
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: September 21, 2026 5:49 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:49 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:49 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is ABNB showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
6
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
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Advanced ABNB Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's ABNB price and gamma walls.
