Is ABNB stock a Buy, Sell, or Hold?

Based on our analysis, ABNB is currently a WAIT with low confidence. 📊 MIXED SIGNALS: ABNB shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.

What is the fair value of ABNB stock?

Our analysis estimates the fair value range for ABNB to be between $143.00 and $178.49. The current price is $187.30.

What is the analyst price target for ABNB?

The average Wall Street analyst price target for ABNB is $175.24. This implies a potential upside of -6.4% from current levels.

ABNB Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

ABNB - Airbnb, Inc. Class A Common Stock

SERVICES-TO DWELLINGS & OTHER BUILDINGS

$187.30

2.30 (1.24%) ▲

5d: +1.76%

30d: +36.15%

90d: +39.52%

WAIT

LOW Confidence

Protect Your ABNB Gains

Analysis Updated: Aug 21, 2026 12:00 AM ET

Earnings: Aug 06, 2026 0d

Smart Money Distribution

Options positioning is turning defensive after a sharp run-up - a pattern consistent with institutional profit-taking. View Scanner →

Signal fired Aug 7, 2026 at $178.07 · last confirmed Aug 17, 2026

Strength: 6.3/10

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡

Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: ABNB shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.

See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

Adjust Growth Assumption: 16.8%

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)

EST. PRICE IN 2031

$248.32

Based on 10.4% avg growth

INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY

$154.18

Trading above historical range

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 24.6x Exit PE.

View Full DCF Model

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: ABNB is currently trading at $187.30, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $143.00 to $178.49. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 30.3) compared to its historical average (24.6). At these levels, the market is pricing in 7.2% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.

Technical Outlook: Technically, ABNB is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $189.20. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.

Market Sentiment: ABNB scores 0/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position EXTENDED

Historical Trading Range $143.00 - $178.49

Company Quality Score 31/100 (SELL)

Volume Confirmation HIGH

Confidence Score 20.5%

Protect Your Profits

ABNB is technically overbought (RSI 72). Consider hedging now to protect against a potential pullback while keeping your upside.

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All Signals

BEARISH: Price extended above range
BEARISH: Weak technical setup (0/100)
BULLISH: High volume confirmation
BEARISH: Trading above Wall St target ($175.24)
NEUTRAL: Trading at premium valuation - market expects 7.2% growth which is achievable
WARNING: Composite score 31/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $143.00 - $178.49

Current vs Trading Range EXTENDED

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $177.43

Resistance Level $189.20

Current Trend Strong Uptrend

Technical data as of Aug 21, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 30.30

Wall Street Target $175.24 (-6.4%)

Revenue Growth (YoY) 16.5%

Earnings Growth (YoY) 33.4%

Profit Margin 20.4%

Valuation Premium vs History +7.2% premium

PE vs Historical 30.3 vs 24.6 STRETCHED

Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists

Implied Growth (YoY): +7.2% (market-implied from PE analysis)

1-Year Target $200.79 (+7%)

2-Year Target $215.24 (+15%)

3-Year Target $230.74 (+23%)

3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 30→25) PE COMPRESSION $187.31 (0%)

Earnings growth offset by PE compression

3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth

Bull: (PE: 30.3, Growth: 16.8%) $298.78 (+60%)

Base: (SPY PE: 20.1, Growth: 16.8%) $197.88 (+6%)

Bear: (PE: 17.1, Growth: 16.8%) $168.20 (-10%)

📈 Valuation based on Current Earnings

RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (43x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (30x PE) as earnings recover.

Trailing PE: 42.53 | Current EPS (TTM): $4.35

Bull Case $289.15 (+54%)

Analyst growth 42.1%, PE expands to 46.8

Base Case $262.87 (+40%)

Market implied 42.1%, PE stable at 42.5

Bear Case $125.80 (-33%)

Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 36.2

These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.

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Last updated: August 22, 2026 3:24 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:24 PM

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Technical Signals Check

Is ABNB showing a specific setup today?

RSI Divergence Check TTM Squeeze Check MACD Crossover Check Gamma Walls Check Unusual Activity Check

Insider Activity (6 Months)

Buys

Sells

Net

INSIDERS SELLING

Recent Transactions

Nathan Blecharczyk SELL 24788 shares 2026-04-22

Nathan Blecharczyk SELL 10777 shares 2026-04-21

Joseph Gebbia SELL 58000 shares 2026-04-20

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