CRTO Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
CRTO - Criteo S.A.
$21.82
-0.12 (-0.55%)
▼
5d:
+6.75%
30d:
+18.14%
90d:
+15.21%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 31, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 05, 2026
2d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: CRTO shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite fair pricing.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: CRTO shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite fair pricing.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$38.14
Based on 12.8% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$23.68
7.9% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 4.1x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: CRTO is currently trading at $21.82, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $19.25 to $23.04. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 4.2) is in line with its historical norms (4.1). At these levels, the market is pricing in 1.0% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CRTO is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $20.17, while resistance sits at $22.72.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $27.50 (+26.0%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CRTO is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $20.17, while resistance sits at $22.72.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $27.50 (+26.0%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$19.25 -
$23.04
Company Quality Score
46/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
75.7%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 26.0% below Wall St target ($27.50)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 1.0% growth with -5.9% revenue growth
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$19.25 -
$23.04
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$20.17
Resistance Level
$22.72
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jul 31, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
4.25
Wall Street Target
$27.50
(+26.0%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-5.9%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-77.3%
Profit Margin
6.0%
Valuation Premium vs History
+1.0% premium
PE vs Historical
4.3 vs 4.1
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+1.0%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$22.04
(+1%)
2-Year Target
$22.26
(+2%)
3-Year Target
$22.48
(+3%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 4→4)
PE COMPRESSION
$21.68
(-1%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.7, Growth: 21.6%)
$191.39
(+777%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 4.3, Growth: 21.6%)
$39.25
(+80%)
Bear:
(PE: 3.6, Growth: 21.6%)
$33.36
(+53%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (10x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (4x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 10.30 | Current EPS (TTM): $2.13
Bull Case
$48.27
(+121%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 11.3
Base Case
$43.88
(+101%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 10.3
Bear Case
$14.92
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 8.8
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 02, 2026 2:45 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:45 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:45 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is CRTO showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
1
Buys
0
Sells
+
Net
INSIDERS BUYING
Recent Transactions
Der Kooi Frederik Van
BUY
5000 shares
2026-03-13
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