Criteo (CRTO) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
CRTO - Criteo S.A.
$16.80
0.10 (0.60%)
▲
5d:
-3.0%
30d:
-3.92%
90d:
+1.39%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Sep 21, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Nov 04, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: CRTO shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: CRTO shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$23.28
Based on 7.4% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$14.46
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 4.2x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: CRTO is currently trading at $16.80, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $17.01 to $18.01. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 4.3) is in line with its historical norms (4.2). At these levels, the market is pricing in 1.1% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CRTO is showing sideways momentum. Immediate support is located at $16.29, while resistance sits at $18.25.
Market Sentiment: CRTO scores 20/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $20.23 (+20.4%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CRTO is showing sideways momentum. Immediate support is located at $16.29, while resistance sits at $18.25.
Market Sentiment: CRTO scores 20/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $20.23 (+20.4%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$17.01 -
$18.01
Company Quality Score
29/100
(SELL)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
60.5%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (20/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 20.4% below Wall St target ($20.23)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 1.1% growth with -11.3% revenue growth
- WARNING: Composite score 29/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$17.01 -
$18.01
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$16.29
Resistance Level
$18.25
Current Trend
Sideways
Technical data as of
Sep 21, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
4.34
Wall Street Target
$20.23
(+20.4%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-11.3%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-43.6%
Profit Margin
5.6%
Valuation Premium vs History
+1.1% premium
PE vs Historical
4.3 vs 4.2
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+1.1%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$16.98
(+1%)
2-Year Target
$17.17
(+2%)
3-Year Target
$17.36
(+3%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 4→4)
PE COMPRESSION
$16.82
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.2, Growth: 10.9%)
$106.93
(+537%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 4.3, Growth: 10.9%)
$22.89
(+36%)
Bear:
(PE: 3.7, Growth: 10.9%)
$19.46
(+16%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (9x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (4x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 8.71 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.94
Bull Case
$37.13
(+122%)
Analyst growth 99.8%, PE expands to 9.6
Base Case
$33.76
(+102%)
Market implied 99.8%, PE stable at 8.7
Bear Case
$11.49
(-31%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 7.4
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: September 21, 2026 5:51 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:51 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:51 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is CRTO showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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