GRPN Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

GRPN - Groupon, Inc.Common Stock

SERVICES-ADVERTISING AGENCIES
$25.03
-0.12 (-0.48%) ▼
5d: -9.25%
30d: -5.94%
90d: +61.9%
HOLD
LOW Confidence
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Analysis Updated: Aug 7, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 06, 2026 0d
Smart Money Accumulation

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Strength: 10.0/10

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡
Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: GRPN trades at premium valuation expecting 23.9% growth. Hold existing positions but don't chase. Wait for better entry.
See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$18.56
Based on 7.0% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$11.53
Trading above historical range

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 15.9x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: GRPN is currently trading at $25.03, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $25.09 to $27.77. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 30.2) compared to its historical average (15.9). At these levels, the market is pricing in 23.9% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.

Technical Outlook: Technically, GRPN is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $24.57. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.

Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position SLIGHTLY LOW
Historical Trading Range $25.09 - $27.77
Company Quality Score 49/100 (HOLD)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 74.8%

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All Signals

  • BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
  • NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($26.33)
  • NEUTRAL: PE elevated vs history but 23.9% growth expectation is conservative given 109% recent growth
  • CAUTION: Recommendation downgraded due to -9.2% 5-day decline

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $25.09 - $27.77
Current vs Trading Range SLIGHTLY LOW

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $24.57
Resistance Level $29.90
Current Trend Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of Aug 7, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 30.18
Wall Street Target $26.33 (+4.7%)
Earnings Growth (YoY) 109.2%
Profit Margin -20.8%
Valuation Premium vs History +23.9% premium
PE vs Historical 30.2 vs 15.9 STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): +23.9% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $31.16 (+24%)
2-Year Target $38.61 (+54%)
3-Year Target $47.84 (+90%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 30→16) PE COMPRESSION $25.20 (+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
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Last updated: August 07, 2026 4:09 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:09 PM
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Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL

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Advanced GRPN Option Strategies

Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's GRPN price and gamma walls.

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