ACMR Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
ACMR - ACM Research, Inc. Class A Common Stock
$78.47
-0.18 (-0.23%)
▼
5d:
-6.94%
30d:
-33.02%
90d:
+51.81%
HOLD
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 31, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 07, 2026
3d
Smart Money Accumulation
None View Scanner →
Strength: 7.7/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: ACMR trades at premium valuation expecting 7.2% growth. Hold existing positions but don't chase. Wait for better entry.
📊 HOLD: ACMR trades at premium valuation expecting 7.2% growth. Hold existing positions but don't chase. Wait for better entry.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$109.70
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$68.11
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: ACMR is currently trading at $78.47, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $80.99 to $108.29. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 34.8) compared to its historical average (28.3). At these levels, the market is pricing in 7.2% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ACMR is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $63.53, while resistance sits at $95.44.
Market Sentiment: ACMR has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $102.14 (+30.2%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ACMR is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $63.53, while resistance sits at $95.44.
Market Sentiment: ACMR has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $102.14 (+30.2%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$80.99 -
$108.29
Company Quality Score
53/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
60.5%
Protect Your Profits
Holding ACMR? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (25/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 30.2% below Wall St target ($102.14)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 7.2% growth with 34.2% revenue growth
- CAUTION: Recommendation downgraded due to -6.9% 5-day decline
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$80.99 -
$108.29
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$63.53
Resistance Level
$95.44
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jul 31, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
34.82
Wall Street Target
$102.14
(+30.2%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
34.2%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-18.7%
Profit Margin
9.5%
Valuation Premium vs History
+7.2% premium
PE vs Historical
34.8 vs 28.3
STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+7.2%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$84.12
(+7%)
2-Year Target
$90.18
(+15%)
3-Year Target
$96.67
(+23%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 35→28)
PE COMPRESSION
$78.56
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 34.8, Growth: 34.4%)
$190.46
(+143%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 20.7, Growth: 34.4%)
$113.37
(+45%)
Bear:
(PE: 17.6, Growth: 34.4%)
$96.37
(+23%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (40x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (35x PE) as earnings recover.
Forward PE: 40.49 | Forward EPS (Implied): $1.94
Bull Case
$94.75
(+21%)
Analyst growth 15.0%, PE expands to 42.5
Base Case
$78.47
(0%)
Market implied 0.0%, PE stable at 40.5
Bear Case
$60.03
(-24%)
Severe decline -15.0%, PE contracts to 36.4
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 03, 2026 12:39 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:39 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:39 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is ACMR showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
3
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Charles C Pappis
SELL
5000 shares
2026-04-17
Tracy Liu
SELL
15000 shares
2026-03-11
Tracy Liu
SELL
45000 shares
2026-03-10
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Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's ACMR price and gamma walls.
