AMBA Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
AMBA - Ambarella, Inc. Ordinary Shares
$68.06
-2.45 (-3.47%)
▼
5d:
+10.06%
30d:
+8.05%
90d:
+10.96%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 24, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 27, 2026
Smart Money Distribution
None View Scanner →
Strength: 6.6/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: AMBA is fairly valued with market pricing in -0.0% annual growth. Fine to hold or accumulate slowly on dips.
📊 HOLD: AMBA is fairly valued with market pricing in -0.0% annual growth. Fine to hold or accumulate slowly on dips.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$24.87
Based on 8.3% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$15.44
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: AMBA is currently trading at $68.06, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $64.21 to $77.47. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 101.5) is in line with its historical norms (101.5). At these levels, the market is pricing in -0.0% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, AMBA is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $59.35, while resistance sits at $75.51. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 3.5% recently.
Market Sentiment: AMBA has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $95.00 (+39.6%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, AMBA is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $59.35, while resistance sits at $75.51. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 3.5% recently.
Market Sentiment: AMBA has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $95.00 (+39.6%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$64.21 -
$77.47
Company Quality Score
46/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
46.2%
Protect Your Profits
Holding AMBA? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (25/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Downward momentum (-3.5%)
- BULLISH: Trading 39.6% below Wall St target ($95.00)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in -0.0% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$64.21 -
$77.47
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$59.35
Resistance Level
$75.51
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jul 24, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
101.49
Wall Street Target
$95.00
(+39.6%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
16.9%
Profit Margin
-17.2%
PE vs Historical
101.5 vs 101.5
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
0%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$68.06
(0%)
2-Year Target
$68.06
(0%)
3-Year Target
$68.06
(0%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 101→102)
$68.07
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 101.5, Growth: 12.5%)
$97.00
(+43%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 20.8, Growth: 12.5%)
$19.89
(-71%)
Bear:
(PE: 17.7, Growth: 12.5%)
$16.91
(-75%)
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 25, 2026 9:34 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:34 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:34 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is AMBA showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
10
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
John Alexander Young
SELL
1971 shares
2026-04-21
Chan W Lee
SELL
3641 shares
2026-03-19
Chi-Hong Ju
SELL
2155 shares
2026-03-19
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Advanced AMBA Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's AMBA price and gamma walls.
