AMBA Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
AMBA - Ambarella, Inc. Ordinary Shares
$65.51
-5.20 (-7.35%)
▼
5d:
-6.6%
30d:
-21.68%
90d:
+20.04%
HOLD
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jun 23, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 27, 2026
Smart Money Accumulation
None View Scanner →
Strength: 5.3/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: AMBA shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: AMBA shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$24.87
Based on 8.3% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$15.44
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: AMBA is currently trading at $65.51, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $67.28 to $84.60. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 97.7) is in line with its historical norms (100.6). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 1.0% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, AMBA is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $61.80, while resistance sits at $71.63. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 7.4% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $95.00 (+45.0%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, AMBA is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $61.80, while resistance sits at $71.63. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 7.4% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $95.00 (+45.0%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
Historical Trading Range
$67.28 -
$84.60
Company Quality Score
55/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
74.8%
Protect Your Profits
Holding AMBA? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Downward momentum (-7.4%)
- BULLISH: Trading 45.0% below Wall St target ($95.00)
- CAUTION: Recommendation downgraded due to -6.6% 5-day decline
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$67.28 -
$84.60
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY LOW
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$61.80
Resistance Level
$71.63
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jun 23, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
97.69
Wall Street Target
$95.00
(+45.0%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
16.9%
Profit Margin
-17.2%
Valuation Discount vs History
-1.0% cheaper
PE vs Historical
97.7 vs 100.6
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-1.0%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$64.85
(-1%)
2-Year Target
$64.21
(-2%)
3-Year Target
$63.56
(-3%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 98→101)
$65.46
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 97.7, Growth: 12.5%)
$93.36
(+43%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 21.8, Growth: 12.5%)
$20.82
(-68%)
Bear:
(PE: 18.5, Growth: 12.5%)
$17.69
(-73%)
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 97.7 to 100.6
Stabilization Target:
$67.46
(+3.0%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+3.0%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: June 23, 2026 6:35 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:35 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:35 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is AMBA showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
13
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
John Alexander Young
SELL
1971 shares
2026-04-21
Chan W Lee
SELL
3641 shares
2026-03-19
Chi-Hong Ju
SELL
2155 shares
2026-03-19
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Advanced AMBA Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's AMBA price and gamma walls.
