KLAC Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
KLAC - KLA Corporation Common Stock
$212.75
-6.62 (-3.02%)
▼
5d:
-8.11%
30d:
-10.36%
90d:
+22.63%
HOLD
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 17, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 28, 2026
8d
Smart Money Accumulation
None View Scanner →
Strength: 7.3/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: KLAC trades at premium valuation expecting 60.4% growth. Hold existing positions but don't chase. Wait for better entry.
📊 HOLD: KLAC trades at premium valuation expecting 60.4% growth. Hold existing positions but don't chase. Wait for better entry.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$100.71
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$62.53
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 10.1x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: KLAC is currently trading at $212.75, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $217.84 to $261.49. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 41.5) compared to its historical average (10.1). At these levels, the market is pricing in 60.4% annual earnings growth. This is a high bar to clear, indicating the stock may be priced for perfection.
Technical Outlook: Technically, KLAC is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $204.58, while resistance sits at $247.49. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 3.0% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, KLAC is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $204.58, while resistance sits at $247.49. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 3.0% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$217.84 -
$261.49
Company Quality Score
55/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
65.2%
Protect Your Profits
Holding KLAC? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Downward momentum (-3.0%)
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($232.43)
- BEARISH: Market expects 60.4% growth - appears too optimistic based on history
- CAUTION: Recommendation downgraded due to -8.1% 5-day decline
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$217.84 -
$261.49
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$204.58
Resistance Level
$247.49
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jul 17, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
41.55
Wall Street Target
$232.43
(+9.2%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
11.5%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
11.8%
Profit Margin
35.7%
Valuation Premium vs History
+60.4% premium
PE vs Historical
41.6 vs 10.1
STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+60.4%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$319.12
(+50%)
2-Year Target
$478.69
(+125%)
3-Year Target
$718.03
(+238%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 42→10)
PE COMPRESSION
$174.54
(-18%)
Significant PE compression expected
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 41.6, Growth: 37.8%)
$556.58
(+162%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 21.0, Growth: 37.8%)
$281.44
(+32%)
Bear:
(PE: 10.1, Growth: 37.8%)
$135.29
(-36%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (44x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (42x PE) as earnings recover.
Forward PE: 44.05 | Forward EPS (Implied): $4.83
Bull Case
$256.90
(+21%)
Analyst growth 15.0%, PE expands to 46.3
Base Case
$212.75
(0%)
Market implied 0.0%, PE stable at 44.1
Bear Case
$162.75
(-24%)
Severe decline -15.0%, PE contracts to 39.7
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 19, 2026 3:03 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:03 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:03 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is KLAC showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
3
Buys
1
Sells
+
Net
NEUTRAL
Recent Transactions
Ro Khanna
SELL
2026-03-23
Ro Khanna
BUY
2026-03-18
Ro Khanna
BUY
2026-02-05
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Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's KLAC price and gamma walls.
