What is the fair value of ASML stock?

Our analysis estimates the fair value range for ASML to be between $1663.70 and $1821.30. The current price is $1763.76.

What is the analyst price target for ASML?

The average Wall Street analyst price target for ASML is $2201.31. This implies a potential upside of 24.8% from current levels.

ASML Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

ASML - ASML Holding NV

Special Industry Machinery, NEC

$1763.76

13.45 (0.77%) ▲

5d: -4.36%

30d: -2.18%

90d: +10.79%

WAIT

LOW Confidence

Protect Your ASML Gains

Analysis Updated: Aug 21, 2026 12:00 AM ET

Earnings: Oct 14, 2026

NEW THESIS The Datacenter CPU Renaissance (2026)

See why ASML plays a critical role in the upcoming CPU supercycle alongside GPUs. Read Deep Dive →

Smart Money Accumulation

Options open interest is building while the stock consolidates - a pattern consistent with institutional accumulation. View Scanner →

Signal fired Aug 19, 2026 at $1751.73 · last confirmed Aug 19, 2026

Strength: 4.7/10

Get Alerted When ASML Hits Your Target Price

Join 10,000+ traders who never miss a move

You're in! Check your email to confirm and set your target price.

100% Free No spam, ever Unsubscribe anytime

Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

Loading historical data...

💡

Bottom Line:
ℹ️ NEUTRAL: ASML is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At -4.2% expected growth, valuation appears cheap. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.

See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

Adjust Growth Assumption: 25.0%

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)

EST. PRICE IN 2031

$2503.55

Based on 14.5% avg growth

INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY

$1554.51

Trading above historical range

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.

View Full DCF Model

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: ASML is currently trading at $1763.76, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $1663.70 to $1821.30. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 34.3) compared to its historical average (39.1). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 4.2% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 28.5% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.

Technical Outlook: Technically, ASML is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $1732.81. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.

Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 44/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $2201.31 (+24.8%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position FAIR

Historical Trading Range $1663.70 - $1821.30

Company Quality Score 48/100 (HOLD)

Volume Confirmation HIGH

Confidence Score 72.4%

Protect Your Profits

Holding ASML? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.

View Profit Protection Plan

All Signals

NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (44/100)
BULLISH: High volume confirmation
BULLISH: Trading 24.8% below Wall St target ($2201.31)
WARNING: Composite score 48/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $1663.70 - $1821.30

Current vs Trading Range FAIR

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $1732.81

Resistance Level $1896.35

Current Trend Strong Uptrend

Technical data as of Aug 21, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 34.30

Wall Street Target $2201.31 (+24.8%)

Revenue Growth (YoY) 21.3%

Earnings Growth (YoY) 28.5%

Profit Margin 30.1%

Valuation Discount vs History -4.2% cheaper

PE vs Historical 34.3 vs 39.1 CHEAP

Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists

Implied Growth (YoY): -4.2% (market-implied from PE analysis)

1-Year Target $1689.68 (-4%)

2-Year Target $1618.72 (-8%)

3-Year Target $1550.73 (-12%)

3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 34→39) $1767.85 (+0%)

3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth

Bull: (PE: 34.3, Growth: 35.2%) $4361.22 (+147%)

Base: (SPY PE: 20.1, Growth: 35.2%) $2552.03 (+45%)

Bear: (PE: 17.1, Growth: 35.2%) $2169.23 (+23%)

📈 Valuation based on Current Earnings

RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (39x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (34x PE) as earnings recover.

Forward PE: 38.61 | Forward EPS (Implied): $45.68

Bull Case $2129.74 (+21%)

Analyst growth 15.0%, PE expands to 40.5

Base Case $1763.76 (0%)

Market implied 0.0%, PE stable at 38.6

Bear Case $1349.28 (-24%)

Severe decline -15.0%, PE contracts to 34.8

These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.

💡 Upside Surprise Potential

If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 34.3 to 39.1

Stabilization Target: $2010.70 (+14.0%)

PE Expansion Potential: +14.0%

Share & Embed Analysis

Found this analysis useful? Share it with your community or embed the live chart on your blog.

Tweet Reddit

bloggers & journalists: you are free to use our charts with attribution.

Last updated: August 23, 2026 6:26 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:26 AM

🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now

Ticker	Score	Recommendation	Change %

See Full Scanner Results »

Technical Signals Check

Is ASML showing a specific setup today?

RSI Divergence Check TTM Squeeze Check MACD Crossover Check Gamma Walls Check Unusual Activity Check

Insider Activity (6 Months)

Buys

Sells

Net

NEUTRAL

View Insider Activity Scanner

Unlock Insider Activity

See real-time buying/selling by company executives for ASML.

Create Free Account

Already have an account? Log In

Featured in Portfolios

ASML is a key holding in these high-performance investment strategies.

Semiconductor Kings Sector • +62.1% Return

View All Strategies

Top Rated Semiconductor Equipment & Materials Stocks

Top-rated stocks in Semiconductor Equipment & Materials by analyst ratings.

Stock	Analyst Consensus	Analyst Target	Tradestie Score
AMAT Applied Materials Inc	STRONG BUY 39 analysts	$638	48 HOLD
LRCX Lam Research Corp	STRONG BUY 33 analysts	$369	52 HOLD
KLAC KLA Corporation	BUY 30 analysts	$232	57 HOLD
TER Teradyne Inc	BUY 17 analysts	$450	48 HOLD
NVMI Nova Ltd	STRONG BUY 8 analysts	$532	54 HOLD

AMAT Applied Materials…

48 HOLD

LRCX Lam Research Corp

Advanced ASML Option Strategies

Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's ASML price and gamma walls.

Iron Condor Bull Call Bear Put Collar

More Analysis for ASML

ASML Technical Chart ASML Price Prediction ASML Earnings Date ASML Investment Advisor ASML Fair Price Analyzer ASML Options Advisor ASML Options Chain ASML Options Analysis ASML Competitors

ASML Holding NV

Special Industry Machinery, NEC

About

ASML is the leader in photolithography systems used in manufacturing semiconductors. Photolithography is the process in which a light source is used to expose circuit patterns from a photo mask onto a semiconductor wafer. The latest technological advances in this segment allow chipmakers to continually increase the number of transistors on the same area of silicon, with lithography historically representing a high portion of the cost of making cutting-edge chips. ASML outsources the manufacturing of most of its parts, acting like an assembler. ASML's main clients are TSMC, Samsung, and Intel.

Exchange: XNAS

Market Cap: $389,416,916,894

Employees: 44,127

Listed Since: 1995-03-15

Website: Visit

CIK: 0000937966

Compare ASML with Peers

ASML vs TSM
Which one to buy?

ASML vs AVGO
Which one to buy?

ASML vs LRCX
Which one to buy?

ASML vs ARM
Which one to buy?

ASML vs CRWD
Which one to buy?

ASML vs ISRG
Winner: Tie

ASML vs XEL

ASML vs LRCX

ASML vs KLAC

Create New Comparison View All Competitors

Tradestie