ADNT Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
ADNT - Adient plc Ordinary Shares
$21.04
-0.84 (-3.84%)
▼
5d:
+3.14%
30d:
+15.99%
90d:
-0.05%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 31, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 05, 2026
2d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: ADNT shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: ADNT shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$44.02
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$27.34
23.0% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 6.9x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: ADNT is currently trading at $21.04, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $18.89 to $20.88. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 6.4) is in line with its historical norms (6.9). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 2.2% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ADNT is showing sideways momentum. Immediate support is located at $19.50, while resistance sits at $22.45. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 3.8% recently.
Market Sentiment: ADNT has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $31.50 (+49.7%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ADNT is showing sideways momentum. Immediate support is located at $19.50, while resistance sits at $22.45. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 3.8% recently.
Market Sentiment: ADNT has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $31.50 (+49.7%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$18.89 -
$20.88
Company Quality Score
54/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
57.1%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Downward momentum (-3.8%)
- BULLISH: Trading 49.7% below Wall St target ($31.50)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$18.89 -
$20.88
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$19.51
Resistance Level
$22.45
Current Trend
Sideways
Technical data as of
Jul 31, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
6.42
Wall Street Target
$31.50
(+49.7%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
7.0%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-76.6%
Profit Margin
0.4%
Valuation Discount vs History
-2.2% cheaper
PE vs Historical
6.4 vs 6.9
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-2.2%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$20.58
(-2%)
2-Year Target
$20.12
(-4%)
3-Year Target
$19.68
(-7%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 6→7)
$21.15
(+1%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.7, Growth: 52.2%)
$229.23
(+990%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 6.4, Growth: 52.2%)
$71.01
(+238%)
Bear:
(PE: 5.5, Growth: 52.2%)
$60.36
(+187%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (34x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (6x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 33.66 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.65
Bull Case
$48.14
(+129%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 37.0
Base Case
$43.76
(+108%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 33.7
Bear Case
$14.88
(-29%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 28.6
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 6.4 to 6.9
Stabilization Target:
$22.61
(+7.4%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+7.4%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 02, 2026 4:33 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:33 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:33 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is ADNT showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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