ADNT Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
ADNT - Adient plc Ordinary Shares
$20.49
-0.10 (-0.49%)
▼
5d:
-10.29%
30d:
-2.43%
90d:
-0.05%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jun 23, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 05, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
⏸️ WAIT FOR STABILIZATION: ADNT is down 10.3% over the last 5 days. While fundamentals may be solid, catching a falling knife is risky. Wait for price to stabilize before entering.
⏸️ WAIT FOR STABILIZATION: ADNT is down 10.3% over the last 5 days. While fundamentals may be solid, catching a falling knife is risky. Wait for price to stabilize before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$45.25
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$28.10
27.1% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 7.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: ADNT is currently trading at $20.49, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $20.76 to $22.96. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 6.2) compared to its historical average (7.0). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 4.3% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ADNT is in a downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $20.00. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $31.42 (+53.3%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ADNT is in a downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $20.00. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $31.42 (+53.3%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$20.76 -
$22.96
Company Quality Score
53/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
79.5%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 53.3% below Wall St target ($31.42)
- WARNING: Recommendation downgraded due to -10.3% 5-day decline - wait for stabilization
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$20.76 -
$22.96
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$20.00
Resistance Level
$23.98
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
Jun 23, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
6.17
Wall Street Target
$31.42
(+53.3%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
7.0%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-76.6%
Profit Margin
0.4%
Valuation Discount vs History
-4.3% cheaper
PE vs Historical
6.2 vs 7.0
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-4.3%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$19.61
(-4%)
2-Year Target
$18.77
(-8%)
3-Year Target
$17.96
(-12%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 6→7)
$20.37
(-1%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 56.5%)
$244.03
(+1091%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 6.2, Growth: 56.5%)
$69.15
(+238%)
Bear:
(PE: 5.2, Growth: 56.5%)
$58.78
(+187%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (32x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (6x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 32.06 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.65
Bull Case
$45.85
(+123%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 35.3
Base Case
$41.68
(+102%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 32.1
Bear Case
$14.17
(-31%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 27.3
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 6.2 to 7.0
Stabilization Target:
$23.24
(+13.4%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+13.4%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: June 23, 2026 5:42 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:42 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:42 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is ADNT showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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