Adient plc Ordinary Shares (ADNT) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
ADNT - Adient plc Ordinary Shares
$17.19
0.07 (0.41%)
â˛
5d:
-5.45%
30d:
-3.86%
90d:
-15.74%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 22, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Nov 04, 2026
11d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: ADNT is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At -4.3% expected growth, valuation appears cheap. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: ADNT is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At -4.3% expected growth, valuation appears cheap. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$38.38
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$23.83
27.9% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 6.7x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: ADNT is currently trading at $17.19, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $17.17 to $18.11. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 5.8) compared to its historical average (6.7). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 4.3% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ADNT is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $16.75. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 45/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $27.64 (+60.8%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ADNT is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $16.75. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 45/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $27.64 (+60.8%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
Historical Trading Range
$17.17 -
$18.11
Company Quality Score
44/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
79.5%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (45/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 60.8% below Wall St target ($27.64)
- WARNING: Composite score 44/100 in the bottom quintile â this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$17.17 -
$18.11
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY LOW
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$16.75
Resistance Level
$18.73
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Oct 22, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
5.84
Wall Street Target
$27.64
(+60.8%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
5.0%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-25.6%
Profit Margin
0.3%
Valuation Discount vs History
-4.3% cheaper
PE vs Historical
5.8 vs 6.7
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-4.3%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$16.45
(-4%)
2-Year Target
$15.74
(-8%)
3-Year Target
$15.07
(-12%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 6â7)
$17.27
(+1%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 19.9, Growth: 48.4%)
$190.73
(+1010%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 5.8, Growth: 48.4%)
$56.13
(+227%)
Bear:
(PE: 5.0, Growth: 48.4%)
$47.71
(+178%)
đ
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (31x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (6x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 31.13 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.55
Bull Case
$37.66
(+119%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 34.2
Base Case
$34.24
(+99%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 31.1
Bear Case
$11.64
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 26.5
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
đĄ
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 5.8 to 6.7
Stabilization Target:
$19.71
(+14.6%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+14.6%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 22, 2026 11:33 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:33 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:33 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is ADNT showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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