ADNT Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
ADNT - Adient plc Ordinary Shares
$20.01
0.52 (2.67%)
â˛
5d:
-1.82%
30d:
-0.5%
90d:
-4.71%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Aug 21, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 05, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: ADNT is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At -1.1% expected growth, valuation appears fair. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: ADNT is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At -1.1% expected growth, valuation appears fair. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$40.14
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$24.92
19.7% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 6.8x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: ADNT is currently trading at $20.01, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $19.31 to $21.01. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 6.6) is in line with its historical norms (6.8). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 1.1% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ADNT is in a downtrend. Immediate support is located at $18.54, while resistance sits at $20.86.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 51/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $29.75 (+48.7%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ADNT is in a downtrend. Immediate support is located at $18.54, while resistance sits at $20.86.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 51/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $29.75 (+48.7%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$19.31 -
$21.01
Company Quality Score
49/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
72.4%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (51/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 48.7% below Wall St target ($29.75)
- WARNING: Composite score 49/100 in the bottom quintile â this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$19.31 -
$21.01
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$18.54
Resistance Level
$20.86
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
Aug 21, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
6.60
Wall Street Target
$29.75
(+48.7%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
5.0%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-25.6%
Profit Margin
0.3%
Valuation Discount vs History
-1.1% cheaper
PE vs Historical
6.6 vs 6.8
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-1.1%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$19.79
(-1%)
2-Year Target
$19.57
(-2%)
3-Year Target
$19.36
(-3%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 7â7)
$19.94
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.1, Growth: 55.4%)
$205.33
(+926%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 6.6, Growth: 55.4%)
$67.53
(+238%)
Bear:
(PE: 5.6, Growth: 55.4%)
$57.40
(+187%)
đ
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (35x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (7x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 35.44 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.55
Bull Case
$42.88
(+114%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 39.0
Base Case
$38.98
(+95%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 35.4
Bear Case
$13.25
(-34%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 30.1
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
đĄ
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 6.6 to 6.8
Stabilization Target:
$20.61
(+3.0%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+3.0%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 23, 2026 6:31 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:31 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:31 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is ADNT showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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