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Adient plc Ordinary Shares (ADNT) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

$16.01
-0.12 (-0.74%) â–ŧ
5d: -6.86% 30d: -11.25% 90d: -20.07%
QUANTITATIVE VERDICT
WAIT
LOW Confidence (57%)
Quality Score
41/100
Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
30-Day Fair Range
$16.93 – $17.68
Position: SLIGHTLY LOW
Forward P/E & Valuation
5.5x CHEAP
vs 6.6x historical avg
Wall Street Target
$25.09
+56.7% upside
Options IV & Volume
HIGH Vol
HIGH volume confirmation
Support / Resistance
$15.80 / $17.99
Trend: Strong Downtrend
💡Executive Thesis & Bottom Line
Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →
â„šī¸ NEUTRAL: ADNT is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At -5.7% expected growth, valuation appears cheap. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$37.13
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$23.05
30.6% Margin of Safety

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 6.6x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: ADNT is currently trading at $16.01, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $16.93 to $17.68. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 5.5) compared to its historical average (6.6). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 5.7% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.

Technical Outlook: Technically, ADNT is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $15.79. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.

Market Sentiment: ADNT scores 37/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $25.09 (+56.7%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position SLIGHTLY LOW
Historical Trading Range $16.93 - $17.68
Company Quality Score 41/100 (HOLD)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 57.1%

Trading Range & Key Levels

30-Day Trading Range $16.93 - $17.68
Current vs Trading Range SLIGHTLY LOW
Support Level $15.80
Resistance Level $17.99
Current Trend Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of Nov 11, 2026

Quantitative Signal Breakdown

  • BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
  • BEARISH: Weak technical setup (37/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BULLISH: Trading 56.7% below Wall St target ($25.09)
  • WARNING: Composite score 41/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 5.54
Wall Street Target $25.09 (+56.7%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 1.1%
Earnings Growth (YoY) -25.6%
Profit Margin -0.1%
Valuation Discount vs History -5.7% cheaper
PE vs Historical 5.5 vs 6.6 CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): -5.7% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $15.10 (-6%)
2-Year Target $14.24 (-11%)
3-Year Target $13.43 (-16%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 6→7) $15.99 (0%)
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 19.9, Growth: 45.7%) $177.45 (+1008%)
Base: (SPY PE: 5.5, Growth: 45.7%) $49.52 (+209%)
Bear: (PE: 4.7, Growth: 45.7%) $42.09 (+163%)
💡 Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 5.5 to 6.6
Stabilization Target: $19.07 (+19.1%)
PE Expansion Potential: +19.1%
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Reddit & Retail Trader Sentiment (ADNT)

Bullish 1 Retail Mentions
StockTwits Volume
1 msgs
24h retail stream
Last Tracked
Nov 4, 2026
Daily AI digest
AI Retail Discussion Summary: Adient, a leading global supplier of automotive interiors, announced an increased share repurchase authorization and adoption of a tax benefits preservation plan. The bullish StockTwits sentiment suggests positive market reaction.
Key Retail Themes: Company buybacks Tax benefits
Aggregated from r/wallstreetbets, r/stocks & StockTwits streams. View All Trending Reddit & WSB Stocks →
Last updated: November 12, 2026 3:34 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:34 AM
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Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Technical Signals Check
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL

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