Adient plc Ordinary Shares (ADNT) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
ADNT - Adient plc Ordinary Shares
$17.31
-0.26 (-1.48%)
▼
5d:
-1.82%
30d:
-10.03%
90d:
-10.82%
HOLD
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 2, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Nov 04, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: ADNT shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: ADNT shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$39.67
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$24.63
29.7% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 6.7x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: ADNT is currently trading at $17.31, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $17.51 to $19.14. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 5.7) compared to its historical average (6.7). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 5.4% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ADNT is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $16.51, while resistance sits at $18.48.
Market Sentiment: ADNT scores 89/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $29.55 (+70.7%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ADNT is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $16.51, while resistance sits at $18.48.
Market Sentiment: ADNT scores 89/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $29.55 (+70.7%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$17.51 -
$19.14
Company Quality Score
57/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
90.5%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (89/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 70.7% below Wall St target ($29.55)
- CAUTION: Bottoming setup, but lagging the sector by 26% over 20 days — wait for relative strength
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$17.51 -
$19.14
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$16.51
Resistance Level
$18.48
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Oct 2, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
5.69
Wall Street Target
$29.55
(+70.7%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
5.0%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-25.6%
Profit Margin
0.3%
Valuation Discount vs History
-5.4% cheaper
PE vs Historical
5.7 vs 6.7
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-5.4%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$16.38
(-5%)
2-Year Target
$15.49
(-11%)
3-Year Target
$14.65
(-15%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 6→7)
$17.25
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.4, Growth: 56.6%)
$209.36
(+1110%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 5.7, Growth: 56.6%)
$58.42
(+238%)
Bear:
(PE: 4.8, Growth: 56.6%)
$49.66
(+187%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (32x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (6x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 31.95 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.55
Bull Case
$38.65
(+123%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 35.1
Base Case
$35.14
(+103%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 32.0
Bear Case
$11.95
(-31%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 27.2
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 5.7 to 6.7
Stabilization Target:
$20.37
(+17.7%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+17.7%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 02, 2026 9:06 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:06 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:06 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is ADNT showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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