Adient plc Ordinary Shares (ADNT) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
ADNT - Adient plc Ordinary Shares
$19.24
0.38 (2.01%)
▲
5d:
-1.69%
30d:
+3.33%
90d:
-14.26%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Sep 11, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Nov 04, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: ADNT shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: ADNT shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$40.14
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$24.92
22.8% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 6.8x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: ADNT is currently trading at $19.24, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $18.65 to $20.02. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 6.3) is in line with its historical norms (6.8). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 2.2% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ADNT is in a downtrend. Immediate support is located at $17.83, while resistance sits at $20.15.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 59/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $29.75 (+54.6%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ADNT is in a downtrend. Immediate support is located at $17.83, while resistance sits at $20.15.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 59/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $29.75 (+54.6%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$18.65 -
$20.02
Company Quality Score
54/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
72.4%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (59/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 54.6% below Wall St target ($29.75)
- NEUTRAL: Bottoming setup forming (59/100) — watch for confirmation
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$18.65 -
$20.02
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$17.83
Resistance Level
$20.15
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
Sep 11, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
6.35
Wall Street Target
$29.75
(+54.6%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
5.0%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-25.6%
Profit Margin
0.3%
Valuation Discount vs History
-2.2% cheaper
PE vs Historical
6.4 vs 6.8
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-2.2%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$18.82
(-2%)
2-Year Target
$18.40
(-4%)
3-Year Target
$18.00
(-7%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 6→7)
$19.28
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.2, Growth: 55.4%)
$206.35
(+973%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 6.3, Growth: 55.4%)
$64.94
(+238%)
Bear:
(PE: 5.4, Growth: 55.4%)
$55.19
(+187%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (34x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (6x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 34.29 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.55
Bull Case
$41.49
(+116%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 37.7
Base Case
$37.72
(+96%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 34.3
Bear Case
$12.82
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 29.2
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 6.3 to 6.8
Stabilization Target:
$20.61
(+7.1%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+7.1%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: September 12, 2026 7:19 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:19 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:19 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is ADNT showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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