ADNT Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

ADNT - Adient plc Ordinary Shares

MOTOR VEHICLE PARTS & ACCESSORIES
$20.59
-0.16 (-0.77%) ▼
5d: -9.22%
30d: -0.05%
90d: +5.16%
HOLD
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jun 22, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 05, 2026

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡
Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: ADNT shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$45.25
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$28.10
26.7% Margin of Safety

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 7.0x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: ADNT is currently trading at $20.59, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $20.83 to $23.01. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 6.2) compared to its historical average (7.0). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 4.1% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.

Technical Outlook: Technically, ADNT is in a downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $20.31. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.

Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $31.42 (+52.6%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range $20.83 - $23.01
Company Quality Score 50/100 (HOLD)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 79.5%

All Signals

  • BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
  • NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BULLISH: Trading 52.6% below Wall St target ($31.42)
  • CAUTION: Recommendation downgraded due to -9.2% 5-day decline

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $20.83 - $23.01
Current vs Trading Range OVERSOLD

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $20.31
Resistance Level $23.98
Current Trend Downtrend
Technical data as of Jun 22, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 6.20
Wall Street Target $31.42 (+52.6%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 7.0%
Earnings Growth (YoY) -76.6%
Profit Margin 0.4%
Valuation Discount vs History -4.1% cheaper
PE vs Historical 6.2 vs 7.0 CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): -4.1% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $19.75 (-4%)
2-Year Target $18.94 (-8%)
3-Year Target $18.16 (-12%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 6→7) $20.50 (-1%)
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 21.8, Growth: 56.5%) $244.03 (+1085%)
Base: (SPY PE: 6.2, Growth: 56.5%) $69.49 (+238%)
Bear: (PE: 5.3, Growth: 56.5%) $59.07 (+187%)
📈 Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (32x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (6x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 32.06 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.65
Bull Case $45.85 (+123%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 35.3
Base Case $41.68 (+102%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 32.1
Bear Case $14.17 (-31%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 27.3
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡 Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 6.2 to 7.0
Stabilization Target: $23.24 (+12.9%)
PE Expansion Potential: +12.9%
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Last updated: June 23, 2026 9:17 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:17 AM
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Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
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Insider Activity (6 Months)
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Buys
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Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL

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