Wheaton Precious Metals (WPM) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

WPM - Wheaton Precious Metals Corp. Common Stock

Gold and Silver Ores
$136.28
2.86 (2.14%) ▲
5d: -4.65%
30d: -9.69%
90d: +18.26%
HOLD
LOW Confidence
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Analysis Updated: Oct 2, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Nov 05, 2026

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡
Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: WPM is fairly valued with market pricing in 0.4% annual growth. Fine to hold or accumulate slowly on dips.
See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$155.02
Based on 4.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$96.25
Trading above historical range

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: WPM is currently trading at $136.28, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $141.11 to $157.12. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 27.4) is in line with its historical norms (27.1). At these levels, the market is pricing in 0.4% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.

Technical Outlook: Technically, WPM is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $131.32, while resistance sits at $154.96.

Market Sentiment: WPM scores 63/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $177.81 (+30.5%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range $141.11 - $157.12
Company Quality Score 66/100 (BUY)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 91.4%

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All Signals

  • BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
  • BULLISH: Strong technical setup (63/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BULLISH: Trading 30.5% below Wall St target ($177.81)
  • NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 0.4% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
  • CAUTION: Bottoming setup, but lagging the sector by 27% over 20 days — wait for relative strength

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $141.11 - $157.12
Current vs Trading Range OVERSOLD

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $131.32
Resistance Level $154.96
Current Trend Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of Oct 2, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 27.39
Wall Street Target $177.81 (+30.5%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 84.7%
Earnings Growth (YoY) 85.7%
Profit Margin 64.7%
Valuation Premium vs History +0.4% premium
PE vs Historical 27.4 vs 27.1 FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): +0.4% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $136.83 (+0%)
2-Year Target $137.37 (+1%)
3-Year Target $137.92 (+1%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 27→27) PE COMPRESSION $136.47 (+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 27.4, Growth: 5.0%) $157.55 (+16%)
Base: (SPY PE: 20.4, Growth: 5.0%) $117.35 (-14%)
Bear: (PE: 17.3, Growth: 5.0%) $99.75 (-27%)
📈 Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (30x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (27x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 29.58 | Current EPS (TTM): $4.51
Bull Case $161.92 (+19%)
Analyst growth 10.3%, PE expands to 32.5
Base Case $147.20 (+8%)
Market implied 10.3%, PE stable at 29.6
Bear Case $90.73 (-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 25.2
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
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Last updated: October 03, 2026 4:32 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:32 AM
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Insider Activity (6 Months)
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NEUTRAL

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Advanced WPM Option Strategies

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