WPM Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
WPM - Wheaton Precious Metals Corp. Common Stock
$111.86
2.83 (2.60%)
▲
5d:
-0.13%
30d:
-3.34%
90d:
-11.11%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 31, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 06, 2026
2d
Smart Money Distribution
None View Scanner →
Strength: 6.5/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: WPM appears deeply undervalued. Market expects -7.7% annual earnings decline despite 129% recent earnings growth. Contrarian opportunity at discount to historical valuation.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: WPM appears deeply undervalued. Market expects -7.7% annual earnings decline despite 129% recent earnings growth. Contrarian opportunity at discount to historical valuation.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$185.80
Based on 7.0% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$115.37
3.0% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: WPM is currently trading at $111.86, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $107.18 to $114.63. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 21.0) compared to its historical average (26.8). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 7.7% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 128.8% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, WPM is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $114.10. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: WPM has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $172.25 (+54.0%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, WPM is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $114.10. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: WPM has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $172.25 (+54.0%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
Historical Trading Range
$107.18 -
$114.63
Company Quality Score
62/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
90.5%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 54.0% below Wall St target ($172.25)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$107.18 -
$114.63
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY LOW
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$105.47
Resistance Level
$114.10
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Aug 3, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
21.04
Wall Street Target
$172.25
(+54.0%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
91.6%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
128.8%
Profit Margin
65.5%
Valuation Discount vs History
-7.7% cheaper
PE vs Historical
21.0 vs 26.8
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-7.7%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$103.25
(-8%)
2-Year Target
$95.30
(-15%)
3-Year Target
$87.96
(-21%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 21→27)
$112.03
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.0, Growth: 9.9%)
$148.29
(+33%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 20.7, Growth: 9.9%)
$146.10
(+31%)
Bear:
(PE: 17.6, Growth: 9.9%)
$124.18
(+11%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (28x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (21x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 27.65 | Current EPS (TTM): $4.10
Bull Case
$161.72
(+48%)
Analyst growth 29.7%, PE expands to 30.4
Base Case
$147.02
(+35%)
Market implied 29.7%, PE stable at 27.7
Bear Case
$77.10
(-29%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 23.5
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 21.0 to 26.8
Stabilization Target:
$142.48
(+27.4%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+27.4%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 03, 2026 5:20 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:20 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:20 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is WPM showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
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