AIG Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
AIG - American International Group, Inc.
$79.90
0.73 (0.92%)
▲
5d:
-1.05%
30d:
+6.62%
90d:
+3.94%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 13, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 06, 2026
23d
Smart Money Distribution
None View Scanner →
Strength: 8.2/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: AIG shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: AIG shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$114.85
Based on 7.4% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$71.31
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 9.1x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: AIG is currently trading at $79.90, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $74.15 to $78.66. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 9.0) is in line with its historical norms (9.1). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 0.3% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 21.6% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, AIG is in a downtrend. Immediate support is located at $74.27, while resistance sits at $82.45.
Market Sentiment: AIG has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $88.45 (+10.7%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, AIG is in a downtrend. Immediate support is located at $74.27, while resistance sits at $82.45.
Market Sentiment: AIG has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $88.45 (+10.7%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$74.15 -
$78.66
Company Quality Score
68/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
59.5%
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View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($88.45)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$74.15 -
$78.66
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$74.27
Resistance Level
$82.45
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
Jul 13, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
9.01
Wall Street Target
$88.45
(+10.7%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
1.4%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
21.6%
Profit Margin
11.8%
Valuation Discount vs History
-0.3% cheaper
PE vs Historical
9.0 vs 9.1
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-0.3%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$79.66
(0%)
2-Year Target
$79.42
(-1%)
3-Year Target
$79.18
(-1%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 9→9)
$79.93
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 10.7%)
$262.23
(+228%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 9.0, Growth: 10.7%)
$108.54
(+36%)
Bear:
(PE: 7.7, Growth: 10.7%)
$92.26
(+16%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (14x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (9x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 14.27 | Current EPS (TTM): $5.58
Bull Case
$139.23
(+76%)
Analyst growth 59.0%, PE expands to 15.7
Base Case
$126.57
(+60%)
Market implied 59.0%, PE stable at 14.3
Bear Case
$54.14
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 12.1
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 9.0 to 9.1
Stabilization Target:
$80.66
(+0.9%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+0.9%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 13, 2026 5:38 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:38 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:38 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is AIG showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
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