WDH Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
WDH - Waterdrop Inc. American Depositary Shares (each representing the right to receive 10 Class A Ordinary Shares)
$1.15
-0.01 (-0.86%)
▼
5d:
-9.45%
30d:
-17.86%
90d:
-32.35%
HOLD
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 13, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Sep 03, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: WDH shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: WDH shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$3.15
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$1.96
41.2% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 1.1x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: WDH is currently trading at $1.15, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $1.14 to $1.37. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 0.8) compared to its historical average (1.1). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 10.5% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, WDH is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $1.40. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (45/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $1.95 (+69.3%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, WDH is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $1.40. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (45/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $1.95 (+69.3%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
Historical Trading Range
$1.14 -
$1.37
Company Quality Score
56/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
79.5%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (45/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 69.3% below Wall St target ($1.95)
- CAUTION: Recommendation downgraded due to -9.4% 5-day decline
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$1.14 -
$1.37
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY LOW
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$1.40
Resistance Level
$1.55
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
0.78
Wall Street Target
$1.95
(+69.3%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
64.8%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-8.5%
Profit Margin
12.5%
Valuation Discount vs History
-10.5% cheaper
PE vs Historical
0.8 vs 1.1
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-10.5%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$1.03
(-10%)
2-Year Target
$0.93
(-19%)
3-Year Target
$0.84
(-27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 1→1)
$1.18
(+3%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 30.0%)
$70.30
(+6013%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 0.8, Growth: 30.0%)
$2.53
(+120%)
Bear:
(PE: 0.7, Growth: 30.0%)
$2.15
(+87%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (6x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (1x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 5.76 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.21
Bull Case
$2.66
(+130%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 6.3
Base Case
$2.42
(+109%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 5.8
Bear Case
$0.82
(-29%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 4.9
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 0.8 to 1.1
Stabilization Target:
$1.62
(+40.6%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+40.6%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 13, 2026 5:43 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:43 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:43 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is WDH showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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