WDH
Waterdrop Inc. American Depositary Shares (each representing the right to receive 10 Class A Ordinary Shares)
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WDH Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
$1.00
-0.01 (-0.99%)
âŧ
5d:
-0.99%
30d:
-4.76%
90d:
+0.0%
QUANTITATIVE VERDICT
WAIT
LOW Confidence (80%)
Quality Score
47/100
Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
30-Day Fair Range
$1.00 â $1.03
Position: SLIGHTLY LOW
Forward P/E & Valuation
0.5x
CHEAP
vs 0.9x historical avg
Wall Street Target
$1.73
+73.1% upside
Options IV & Volume
HIGH Vol
HIGH volume confirmation
Support / Resistance
$0.99 / $1.02
Trend: Strong Downtrend
Executive Thesis & Bottom Line
Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: WDH is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At -15.8% expected growth, valuation appears cheap. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$3.27
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$2.03
50.8% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 0.9x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: WDH is currently trading at $1.00, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $1.00 to $1.03. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 0.5) compared to its historical average (0.9). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 15.8% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, WDH is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $0.99. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 52/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $1.73 (+73.1%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, WDH is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $0.99. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 52/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $1.73 (+73.1%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
Historical Trading Range
$1.00 -
$1.03
Company Quality Score
47/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
79.5%
Trading Range & Key Levels
30-Day Trading Range
$1.00 -
$1.03
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY LOW
Support Level
$0.99
Resistance Level
$1.02
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Nov 11, 2026
Quantitative Signal Breakdown
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (52/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 73.1% below Wall St target ($1.73)
- WARNING: Composite score 47/100 in the bottom quintile â this cohort historically lags the market
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
0.54
Wall Street Target
$1.73
(+73.1%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
72.8%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-22.8%
Profit Margin
10.7%
Valuation Discount vs History
-15.8% cheaper
PE vs Historical
0.5 vs 0.9
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-15.8%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$0.90
(-10%)
2-Year Target
$0.81
(-19%)
3-Year Target
$0.73
(-27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 1â1)
$1.22
(+23%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 19.9, Growth: 65.0%)
$125.12
(+12412%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 0.5, Growth: 65.0%)
$3.38
(+238%)
Bear:
(PE: 0.5, Growth: 65.0%)
$2.87
(+187%)
đ
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (5x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (1x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 5.05 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.20
Bull Case
$2.22
(+122%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 5.6
Base Case
$2.02
(+102%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 5.1
Bear Case
$0.69
(-31%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 4.3
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
đĄ
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 0.5 to 0.9
Stabilization Target:
$1.68
(+68.0%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+68.0%
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bloggers & journalists: you are free to use our charts with attribution.Reddit & Retail Trader Sentiment (WDH)
Bullish
1 Retail Mentions
Reddit / WSB Comments
1
Bullish
Last Tracked
Sep 4, 2025
Daily AI digest
AI Retail Discussion Summary:
Reddit & WallStreetBets discussions on WDH are bullish (sentiment score +0.44) across 1 tracked comments.
Aggregated from r/wallstreetbets, r/stocks & StockTwits streams.
View All Trending Reddit & WSB Stocks →
Last updated: November 11, 2026 8:10 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:10 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:10 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is WDH showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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