FIHL
Fidelis Insurance Holdings Limited
Fire, Marine & Casualty Insurance
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Fidelis Insurance (FIHL) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
$20.71
-0.20 (-0.96%)
âŧ
5d:
-0.38%
30d:
+3.29%
90d:
+9.4%
QUANTITATIVE VERDICT
WAIT
LOW Confidence (64%)
Quality Score
47/100
Position
FAIR
Forward P/E & Valuation
5.2x
FAIR
vs 5.1x historical avg
Wall Street Target
$22.39
+8.1% upside
Options IV & Volume
UNKNOWN Vol
UNKNOWN volume confirmation
Support / Resistance
$20.52 / $21.50
Trend: Uptrend
Executive Thesis & Bottom Line
Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: FIHL is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At 0.6% expected growth, valuation appears fair. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$34.99
Based on 11.8% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$21.73
4.7% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 5.1x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: FIHL is currently trading at $20.71, which is considered fair based on recent price action. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 5.2) is in line with its historical norms (5.1). At these levels, the market is pricing in 0.6% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, FIHL is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $20.52. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 40/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, FIHL is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $20.52. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 40/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Company Quality Score
47/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
UNKNOWN
Confidence Score
63.8%
Trading Range & Key Levels
Support Level
$20.52
Resistance Level
$21.50
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
May 11, 2026
Quantitative Signal Breakdown
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($22.39)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 0.6% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
- WARNING: Composite score 47/100 in the bottom quintile â this cohort historically lags the market
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
5.24
Wall Street Target
$22.39
(+8.1%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-10.8%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
41.1%
Profit Margin
9.0%
Valuation Premium vs History
+0.6% premium
PE vs Historical
5.2 vs 5.1
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+0.6%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$20.83
(+1%)
2-Year Target
$20.96
(+1%)
3-Year Target
$21.09
(+2%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 5â5)
PE COMPRESSION
$20.52
(-1%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.0, Growth: 19.6%)
$149.06
(+620%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 5.2, Growth: 19.6%)
$35.44
(+71%)
Bear:
(PE: 4.5, Growth: 19.6%)
$30.12
(+46%)
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bloggers & journalists: you are free to use our charts with attribution.Reddit & Retail Trader Sentiment (FIHL)
Neutral
2 Retail Mentions
StockTwits Volume
2 msgs
24h retail stream
Last Tracked
Apr 10, 2026
Daily AI digest
AI Retail Discussion Summary:
Fidelis Insurance Holdings (FIHL) faced a downgrade from analysts, leading to a 15% reduction in revenue estimates for 2026. The new consensus forecasts revenues of $2.6b, reflecting a 5.5% annual growth rate.
Key Retail Themes:
Revenue growth
Analyst downgrade
Aggregated from r/wallstreetbets, r/stocks & StockTwits streams.
View All Trending Reddit & WSB Stocks →
Last updated: November 11, 2026 3:41 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:41 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:41 AM
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